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American Financial Group (American Financial Group) Graham Number

: $105.97 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-16), the stock price of American Financial Group is $126.16. American Financial Group's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $105.97. Therefore, American Financial Group's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 1.19.

The historical rank and industry rank for American Financial Group's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

AFG' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.08   Max: 1.27
Current: 1.19

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of American Financial Group was 1.27. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.08.

AFG's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
68.17% of 399 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs AFG: 1.19

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


American Financial Group Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Financial Group's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Financial Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 89.39 96.46 120.98 108.11 105.97

American Financial Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 108.16 103.48 102.14 102.61 105.97

Competitive Comparison

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Financial Group Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Financial Group's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



American Financial Group Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

American Financial Group's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*47.264*10.56)
=105.97

American Financial Group's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*47.264*10.56)
=105.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


American Financial Group  (NYSE:AFG) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

American Financial Group's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=126.16/105.97
=1.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


American Financial Group Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Financial Group's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Financial Group (American Financial Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
301 East Fourth Street, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45202
American Financial Group Inc is a holding company that is engaged primarily in property and casualty insurance services. The company has a focus on specialized commercial products for businesses. American also has annuity operations that are focused on sales of traditional fixed and fixed-indexed annuities in the education, bank, and individual markets. American's insurance operations are conducted through the Great American Insurance Group. The group writes business in all 50 of the United States, primarily through independent agents and brokers.
Executives
Amy Y Murray director 3429 ARNOLD STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
William W Verity director 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Terry S Jacobs director 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Von Lehman John I director 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, 38TH FLOOR, CINCINNATI OH 45202
John B Berding director 301 E. FOURTH ST., 27TH FLOOR, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Mark A Weiss officer: Senior VP & General Counsel 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Michelle A Gillis officer: Sr. Vice President 301 E. FOURTH STREET, 39TH FLOOR, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Brian S. Hertzman other: principal financial officer 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Thompson David Lawrence Jr officer: President of Subsidiary 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
James E Evans director, officer: Sr. V. Pres. & Gen. Counsel 301 E FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Lindner Carl H Iii director, officer: Co-President 14TH FLOOR PROVIDENT TOWER, ONE EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
S Craig Lindner director, officer: Co-President ONE EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Vito C Peraino officer: Sr. VP & General Counsel 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Evans N Nwankwo director 301 EAST FOURTH STREET, 38TH FLOOR, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Kenneth C Ambrecht director 250 EAST FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202