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Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Graham Number

: $114.10 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-19), the stock price of Caterpillar is $354.66. Caterpillar's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $114.10. Therefore, Caterpillar's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 3.11.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

CAT' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.19   Med: 2.87   Max: 4.22
Current: 3.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Caterpillar was 4.22. The lowest was 2.19. And the median was 2.87.

CAT's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
88.54% of 157 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs CAT: 3.11

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Caterpillar Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.42 45.44 64.33 76.97 114.10

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 77.05 91.77 99.60 113.21 114.10

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Caterpillar Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Caterpillar's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*27.278*21.21)
=114.10

Caterpillar's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*27.278*21.21)
=114.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Caterpillar  (NYSE:CAT) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Caterpillar's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=354.66/114.10
=3.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Caterpillar Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caterpillar's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.
Executives
Anthony D. Fassino officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Cheryl H Johnson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Joseph E Creed officer: Interim CFO 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Denise C Johnson officer: Group President C/O CATERPILLAR, INCORPORATED, 901 WEST WASHINGTON, CV41110, EAST PEORIA IL 61630
Lange Bob De officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Fish James C Jr director 800 CAPITOL STREET 3000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Judith Fran Marks director C/O HUBBELL INCORPORATED, 40 WATERVIEW DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
David Maclennan director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Suzette M Long officer: Int. Executive Vice President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFILED IL 60015
Daniel M Dickinson director THAYER CAPITAL PARTNERS, 1455 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, STE 350, WASHINGTON DC 20004
William E Schaupp officer: Chief Accounting Officer PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Gary Michael Marvel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Gerald Johnson director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C23-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Ramin Younessi officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
William P Ainsworth officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD X1 60015

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