Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Graham Number

: $247.50 (As of Dec. 2022)

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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2023-03-24), the stock price of Chipotle Mexican Grill is $1632.53. Chipotle Mexican Grill's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2022 was $247.50. Therefore, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 6.60.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

CMG' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.97 Med: 4.79 Max: 13.1
Current: 6.6

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Chipotle Mexican Grill was 13.10. The lowest was 1.97. And the median was 4.79.

CMG's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
89.74% of 156 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 2.30 vs CMG: 6.60

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Annual Data

Trend

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Graham Number

85.30

129.11

141.78

204.33

247.42

Chipotle Mexican Grill Quarterly Data
	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22
Graham Number																204.38	202.09	214.64	231.70	247.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Graham Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Annual Data Quarterly Data

Chipotle Mexican Grill Graham Number Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number falls in comparison to its industry or sector. The grey bar indicates the Graham Number's extreme value range as defined by GuruFocus.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2022 is calculated as

	Graham Number
=	sqrt of (22.5	*	Tangible Book per Share	*	EPS without NRI)
=	sqrt of (22.5	*	84.92	*	32.04)
=	247.42

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2022 is calculated as

	Graham Number
=	sqrt of (22.5	*	Tangible Book per Share	*	EPS without NRI (TTM))
=	sqrt of (22.5	*	84.92	*	32.06)
=	247.50

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Chipotle Mexican Grill's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number	=	Share Price (Today)	/	Graham number (Q: Dec. 2022 )
	=	1632.53	/	247.50
	=	6.60

Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chipotle Mexican Grill's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Restaurants » Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (NYSE:CMG) » Definitions » Graham Number

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CMG:Mexico C9F:Germany

Address

610 Newport Center Drive, Suite 1400, Newport Beach, CA, USA, 92660

Website

https://www.chipotle.com

Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $7.5 billion in 2021. The Mexican concept is entirely company-owned, with a footprint of more than 3,000 stores, heavily indexed to the United States (though the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany). Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.

Executives

Scott Harlan Maw	director	1411 E. MISSION AVENUE, SPOKANE WA 99202
Ali Namvar	director	C/O PERSHING SQUARE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Patricia Filikrushel	director	DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION, 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Robin S Hickenlooper	director	12300 LIBERTY BOULEVARD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Gregg L Engles	director	1225 SEVENTEENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, DENVER CO 80202
Mary A Winston	director	557 BROADWAY, C/O SCHOLASTIC CORP, NEW YORK NY 10012
Matt Carey	director	11216 WAPLES MILL ROAD SUITE 100, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Mauricio Gutierrez	director	211 CARNEGIE CENTER, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Neil Flanzraich	director	4400 BISCAYNE BLVD, MIAMI FL 33137
Brian R Niccol	director, officer: Chairman, CEO	1 GLEN BELL WAY, IRVINE CA 92618
Christopher W Brandt	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	2202 NORTH WESTSHORE BLVD, TAMPA FL 33607
Laurie Schalow	officer: Chief Corp Affairs, Food Sft	610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 1300, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Marissa Andrada	officer: Chief D&I and People Officer	C/O KATE SPADE & COMPANY 2 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Curtis E Garner	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O AEROHIVE NETWORKS, INC., 330 GIBRALTAR DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Scott Boatwright	officer: Chief Restaurant Officer	1401 WYNKOOP STREET, SUITE 500, DENVER CO 80202