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Aspen Technology (Aspen Technology) Graham Number

: $8.12 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-19), the stock price of Aspen Technology is $198.47. Aspen Technology's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $8.12. Therefore, Aspen Technology's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 24.45.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Technology's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

AZPN' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.47   Med: 7.24   Max: 204.35
Current: 24.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Aspen Technology was 204.35. The lowest was 4.47. And the median was 7.24.

AZPN's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
98.6% of 1356 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 2.15 vs AZPN: 24.44

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Aspen Technology Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aspen Technology's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aspen Technology Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.35 17.80 30.34 - 12.67

Aspen Technology Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.12 1.18 4.87 8.12

Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Aspen Technology's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aspen Technology Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Aspen Technology's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Technology's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Aspen Technology Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Aspen Technology's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Jun. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*1.248*5.72)
=12.67

Aspen Technology's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*1.422*2.06)
=8.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aspen Technology  (NAS:AZPN) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Aspen Technology's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=198.47/8.12
=24.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Aspen Technology Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aspen Technology's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aspen Technology (Aspen Technology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Crosby Drive, Bedford, MA, USA, 01730
Aspen Technology is a global leader in asset optimization software, enabling customers within capital-intensive industries to design, operate and maintain their functions to meet their profitability, safety, and sustainability goals. The heritage business of AspenTech was founded in 1981 and provides software solutions purposed to optimize engineering, manufacturing, and supply chain and asset management functions. In 2021, Emerson Electric traded over $6 billion in cash and its Open Systems International (digital grid management) and subsurface science and engineering businesses for 55% of AspenTech's shares. The new AspenTech is the combination of heritage Aspen, OSI, and SSE and serves more than 3,000 customers across 40 countries.
Executives
Whelan, Jr. Robert M. director ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Mark Edgar Mouritsen officer: Senior VP & General Counsel C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
F G Hammond officer: Senior VP & General Counsel C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 10 CANAL PARK, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Antonio J Pietri director, officer: President & CEO C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Robert E Beauchamp director 2101 CITYWEST BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77042-2827
Chantelle Yvette Breithaupt officer: SVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC. 20 CROSBY DR., BEDFORD MA 01730
Arlen Shenkman director C/O CITRIX SYSTEMS, INC., 851 WEST CYRESS CREEK ROAD, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33309
Thomas F Bogan director C/O WORKDAY, INC., 6110 STONERIDGE MALL RD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Patrick M. Antkowiak director 4 PATRICK WAY, KINGSVILLE MD 21087
Christopher Stagno officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O BRIGHTCOVE INC., 290 CONGRESS STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Manish Chawla officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ASPEN TECHNOLOGY, INC., 20 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Jill D. Smith director 1601 DRY CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 260, LONGMONT CO 80503
Karen Golz director ONE TECHNOLOGY WAY, NORWOOD MA 02062
Ram R. Krishnan director C/O EMERSON ELECTRIC CO., 8000 W. FLORISSANT AVENUE, ST. LOUIS MO 63136
Emerson Electric Co director, 10 percent owner 8000 W. FLORISSANT, P.O. BOX 4100, ST LOUIS MO 63136