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Oesterreichische Post AG (LTS:0NTM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €33.51 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Oesterreichische Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-14), Oesterreichische Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €33.51. The stock price of Oesterreichische Post AG is €28.80. Therefore, Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oesterreichische Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0NTM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 1.12   Max: 1.55
Current: 0.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Oesterreichische Post AG was 1.55. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.12.

LTS:0NTM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.07% of 711 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs LTS:0NTM: 0.86

Oesterreichische Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oesterreichische Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oesterreichische Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Oesterreichische Post AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.82 36.58 41.22 35.77 36.62

Oesterreichische Post AG Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.78 36.62 41.40 37.60 33.30

Competitive Comparison of Oesterreichische Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Oesterreichische Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Oesterreichische Post AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €141.18.

Oesterreichische Post AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.100819886097*141.184+670*0.8)/67.553
=33.22

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oesterreichische Post AG  (LTS:0NTM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Oesterreichische Post AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=28.80/33.224907181009
=0.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oesterreichische Post AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Oesterreichische Post AG Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Rochusplatz 1, Vienna, AUT, 1030
Oesterreichische Post AG is an Austrian postal, logistics, and mail service provider. The business activities include the provision of postal and parcel services, specialized logistics such as express mail delivery and value logistics, sales and telecommunications products and retail goods in the branch network, and provision of financial services. The service offering also encompasses fulfillment services, various online services such as e-letter and cross-media solutions, data and output management as well as document collection, digitalization, and processing. Its reportable segments include Mail, Parcel and Logistics, Retail and Bank, and Corporate.

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