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RVLV (Revolve Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $11.04 (As of Dec. 13, 2024)


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What is Revolve Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-13), Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.04. The stock price of Revolve Group is $37.565. Therefore, Revolve Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

RVLV' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.45   Med: 1.76   Max: 3.46
Current: 3.37

During the past 7 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Revolve Group was 3.46. The lowest was 1.45. And the median was 1.76.

RVLV's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.66% of 735 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs RVLV: 3.37

Revolve Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Revolve Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Revolve Group Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 9.47

Revolve Group Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 9.47 12.02 10.95 11.04

Competitive Comparison of Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Revolve Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Revolve Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Revolve Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Revolve Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Revolve Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Revolve Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $38.50.

Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.773635598597*38.49552+420.286*0.8)/71.523
=11.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Revolve Group  (NYSE:RVLV) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Revolve Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=37.565/11.03786229127
=3.40

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Revolve Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Revolve Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Revolve Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12889 Moore Street, Cerritos, CA, USA, 90703
The Revolve Group is an emerging e-commerce retailer, selling women's dresses, handbags, shoes, beauty products, and incidentals across its marketplace properties, Revolve and FWRD. The platform is built to suit the "next-generation customer," emphasizing mobile commerce, influencer marketing, and occupying an aspirational but attainable luxury niche. With $1.1 billion in 2023 net sales, the firm sits just outside the top 30 apparel retailers (by sales) in the US, but has consistently generated robust top-line growth as the industry continues to favor digital channels. Revolve generates approximately 20% of sales from private-label offerings, while focusing on building an inventory of unique products from emerging fashion brands with less than $10 million in annual sales.
Executives
Michael Mente director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Michael Karanikolas director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Mmmk Development, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Jesse Timmermans officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Oana Ruxandra director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Marc D Stolzman director C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
David Pujades officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER 16800 EDWARDS ROAD, CERRITOS CA 90703
L.p. Tsg6 10 percent owner TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS, 600 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 2900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Hadley Mullin director C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS, 600 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 2900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Melanie Cox director C/O REVOLVE GROUP, INC., 12889 MOORE ST., CERRITOS CA 90703
Jennifer Baxter Moser director C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS, 600 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 2900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Tsg6 Management L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O TSG CONSUMER PARTNERS, LLC, 600 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 2900, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111