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CalAmp (CalAmp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $-460.72 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-19), CalAmp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-460.72.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

CalAmp's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for CalAmp is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for CalAmp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CAMP's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

CalAmp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CalAmp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CalAmp Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

CalAmp Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, CalAmp's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CalAmp Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, CalAmp's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CalAmp's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



CalAmp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 16.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> CalAmp's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 16.40%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 16.40%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-18.772.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

CalAmp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.164)/(1+0.11) = 1.0486486486486
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-18.772*24.5431
=-460.72

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-460.72-2.99)/-460.72
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CalAmp  (NAS:CAMP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CalAmp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CalAmp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CalAmp (CalAmp) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » CalAmp Corp (NAS:CAMP) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15635 Alton Parkway, Suite 250, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
CalAmp Corp provides wireless communications solutions applications to customers. The company's products, software, and application services are sold into a broad array of market verticals, including transportation, government, construction, and automotive to customers in the United States; Latin America; Europe the Middle East, and Africa; Asia-Pacific; and others. Its business activities are organized into its Telematics Systems and Software & Subscription Services. The Telematics Systems segment offers a series of Mobile Resource Management ('MRM') telematics products and applications. The software & Subscription Services segment offers cloud-based application enablement and telematics service platforms.
Executives
Wes Cummins director 4505 LORRAINE AVE, DALLAS TX 75205
Jikun Kim officer: Chief Financial Officer 181 W. HUNTINGTON DRIVE, SUITE 202, MONROVIA CA 91016
Jeffery R Gardner director ONE ALLIED DRIVE, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
Xiaolian Zhang officer: SVP, CFO (interim) C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
Erik Schulz officer: Chief Acctg Officer (interim) C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
272 Capital Lp director, other: See Remarks 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 2100, DALLAS TX 75219
Brennen Carson officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
Berkel Monica Van officer: Chief People Officer 10420 RESEARCH ROAD, SE, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87123
Richard M. Scott officer: Chief Legal Officer, Secretary C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
Jeffrey P. Clark officer: Chief Product Officer C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
Nathan Lowstuter officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer C/O CALAMP CORP., 15635 ALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92618
Kurtis Joseph Binder officer: Executive VP & CFO C/O VIZIO HOLDINGS, INC., 39 TESLA, IRVINE CA 92618
Henry J Maier director 1000 FEDEX DRIVE, MOON TOWNSHIP PA 15108
Kirsten O. Wolberg director 900 NORTH MCCARTHY BLVD, MILPITAS CA 95035
Amal M Johnson director C/O MELLANOX TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 350 OAKMEAD PARKWAY, SUITE 100, SUNNYVALE CA 94085