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Cryo-Cell International (Cryo-Cell International) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $1.74 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-24), Cryo-Cell International's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $1.74.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Cryo-Cell International's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Cryo-Cell International is -343.68%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cryo-Cell International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CCEL's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 1.01
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Cryo-Cell International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cryo-Cell International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cryo-Cell International Annual Data
Trend Nov14 Nov15 Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Cryo-Cell International Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Cryo-Cell International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cryo-Cell International Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Cryo-Cell International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cryo-Cell International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Cryo-Cell International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Cryo-Cell International's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -26.40%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.151.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Cryo-Cell International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.151*11.5406
=1.74

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(1.74-7.72)/1.74
=-343.68 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cryo-Cell International  (AMEX:CCEL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Cryo-Cell International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Cryo-Cell International (Cryo-Cell International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 Brooker Creek Boulevard, Suite 1800, Oldsmar, FL, USA, 34677
Cryo-Cell International Inc is engaged in cellular processing and cryogenic storage. The company is organized into three reportable segments namely cellular processing and cryogenic storage, with a focus on the collection and preservation of umbilical cord blood and tissue stem cells for family use and the manufacturing of Prepacyte CB units segment, which is a processing technology used to process umbilical cord blood stem cells. The Public cord blood banking segment consists of cellular processing and cryogenic storage of umbilical cord blood stem cells for public use. All the business activity of the group functions through the United States and it derives revenue from processing and testing fees and storage fees charged each year for storage and through sales of the Prepacyte CB units.
Executives
David Portnoy director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer C/O FOCUS FINANCIAL GROUP, 61 HARBOUR WAY, BAL HARBOUR FL 33154
George Gaines director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Jonathan H. Wheeler director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Brian L. Sheehy director 415 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Mark L. Portnoy director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Harold D. Berger director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Arthur Ellis director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD, SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Mary J Nyberg 10 percent owner 455 E MAYO BLVD, UNIT 5202, PHOENIX AZ 85050
Cdmj Nyberg Family Trust 10 percent owner 455 E MAYO BLVD, UNIT 5202, PHOENIX AZ 85050
Jill M Taymans officer: VP, Finance, CFO
Oleg Mikulinsky officer: Chief Information Officer 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Anthony Atala director 700 BROOKER CREEK BOULEVARD, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Scott G Christian director
Sung Won Sohn director 700 BROOKER CREEK BLVD., SUITE 1800, OLDSMAR FL 34677
Michael W. Cho director C/O IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY, 1600 S. 16TH STREET, AMES IA 50011-1250