Cullinan Therapeutics (Cullinan Therapeutics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $-42.47 (As of Today)

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As of today (2024-04-19), Cullinan Therapeutics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-42.47.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Cullinan Therapeutics's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Cullinan Therapeutics is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cullinan Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CGEM's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Biotechnology industry.
Industry Median: 1.445
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Cullinan Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cullinan Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cullinan Therapeutics Annual Data

Trend

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Cullinan Therapeutics Quarterly Data
	Dec18	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Cullinan Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Cullinan Therapeutics Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Cullinan Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cullinan Therapeutics's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.

Cullinan Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Cullinan Therapeutics's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -23.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-3.680.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Cullinan Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	=	EPS without NRI	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

EPS without NRI

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

EPS without NRI

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-3.680

11.5406

-42.47

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
	=	(-42.47	-	15.72)	/	-42.47
	=	N/A

Cullinan Therapeutics (NAS:CGEM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Cullinan Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Cullinan Therapeutics (Cullinan Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Cullinan Therapeutics Inc (NAS:CGEM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

One Main Street, Suite 520, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02142

Website

https://www.cullinanoncology.com

Cullinan Oncology Inc is a biopharmaceutical company. It is focused on developing a diversified pipeline of targeted oncology and immuno-oncology therapies with transformative potential for cancer patients.

Executives

Nadim Ahmed	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Jacquelyn L Sumer	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O GENOCEA BIOSCIENCES, INC., 100 ACORN PARK DRIVE 5TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Jeffrey Alan Jones	officer: Chief Medical Officer	ONE MAIN STREET, SUITE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jennifer Michaelson	officer: See Remarks	C/O CULLINAN MANAGEMENT, INC., ONE MAIN STREET SUITE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jeffrey Trigilio	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O CULLINAN MANAGEMENT, INC., ONE MAIN STREET, SUTIE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
David P. Ryan	director	C/O CULLINAN ONCOLOGY, INC., ONE MAIN STREET, SUITE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Vision Scs F2	10 percent owner	74 GRAND RUE, LUXEMBURG N4 L-1660
Savill Corrine	officer: Acting Chief Business Officer	C/O CULLINAN ONCOLOGY, LLC, ONE MAIN STREET SUITE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
F2 Bioscience I 2017 Ltd	10 percent owner	8, RUE SAINT-LEGER, GENEVA V8 CH 1205
Biotechnology Value Fund L P	other: See Explanation of Responses	44 MONTGOMERY STREET, 40TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Anne-marie Martin	director	ONE MAIN STREET, SUITE 520, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Mark N Lampert	10 percent owner	1 SANSOME ST, 30TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Biotechnology Value Trading Fund Os Lp	other: See Explanation of Responses	P.O. BOX 309 UGLAND HOUSE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Bvf Partners Os Ltd.	other: See Explanation of Responses	P.O. BOX 309 UGLAND HOUSE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Biotechnology Value Fund Ii Lp	other: See Explanation of Responses	44 MONTGOMERY STREET, 40TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104