GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Europe » Italy » MIL » FinecoBank SpA (MIL:FBK) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Switch to:

FinecoBank SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: €15.71 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial

As of today (2022-08-12), FinecoBank SpA's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is €15.71.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

FinecoBank SpA's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for FinecoBank SpA is 21.04%.

The historical rank and industry rank for FinecoBank SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:FBK' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.72   Med: 0.82   Max: 2.45
Current: 0.79

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of FinecoBank SpA was 2.45. The lowest was 0.72. And the median was 0.82.

MIL:FBK's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
75.38% of 524 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.53 vs MIL:FBK: 0.79

FinecoBank SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for FinecoBank SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

FinecoBank SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 18.63 17.36

FinecoBank SpA Quarterly Data
Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.63 16.97 19.10 17.36 4.67

FinecoBank SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 17.10%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 17.10% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 17.10%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = €0.505.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

FinecoBank SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.171)/(1+0.09) = 1.0743119266055
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.505*31.1108
=15.71

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(15.71-12.405)/15.71
=21.04 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


FinecoBank SpA  (MIL:FBK) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


FinecoBank SpA Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of FinecoBank SpA's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


FinecoBank SpA Business Description

FinecoBank SpA logo
Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » FinecoBank SpA (MIL:FBK) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Piazza Durante, 11, Milan, ITA, 20131
FinecoBank SpA business model integrates direct banking and financial advice, with operations split into three segments, including banking, brokerage, and investing. Unlike most banks, FinecoBank's net revenue is split nearly evenly between net interest and net fee and commission income, given its strategic emphasis on private banking. The majority of its balance sheet assets are exposed to central Italy, with some notable exposure to the rest of Italy and other European countries. The bank has some sovereign debt exposure, mostly to in Italian and Spanish debt securities.

FinecoBank SpA Headlines

Other Sources

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)