Peapack Gladstone Financial (Peapack Gladstone Financial) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $47.71 (As of Today)

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As of today (2024-04-18), Peapack Gladstone Financial's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $47.71.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Peapack Gladstone Financial's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Peapack Gladstone Financial is 51.58%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Peapack Gladstone Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

PGC' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.47 Med: 0.57 Max: 0.62
Current: 0.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Peapack Gladstone Financial was 0.62. The lowest was 0.47. And the median was 0.57.

PGC's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
56.39% of 626 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.54 vs PGC: 0.48

Peapack Gladstone Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Peapack Gladstone Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Peapack Gladstone Financial Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

65.17

52.04

Peapack Gladstone Financial Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)																-	-	-	-	52.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Peapack Gladstone Financial's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Peapack Gladstone Financial Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Peapack Gladstone Financial's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Peapack Gladstone Financial's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.

Peapack Gladstone Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.30%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Peapack Gladstone Financial's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.30%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.30%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $2.733.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Peapack Gladstone Financial's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	=	EPS without NRI	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.113)/(1+0.11) = 1.0027027027027
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

EPS without NRI

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

EPS without NRI

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

2.733

17.4563

47.71

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
	=	(47.71	-	23.10)	/	47.71
	=	51.58 %

Peapack Gladstone Financial (NAS:PGC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Peapack Gladstone Financial Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Peapack Gladstone Financial (Peapack Gladstone Financial) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp (NAS:PGC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

500 Hills Drive, Suite 300, Bedminster, NJ, USA, 07921

Website

https://www.pgbank.com

Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp provides banking services. It operates through two segments namely Banking, which involves the delivery of loans and deposits, and Peapack Private Division which includes asset management services. The banking segment includes commercial real estate, multifamily, residential and consumer lending, deposit generation, and internet banking services. Peapack Private includes asset management services for individuals and institutions; personal trust services, administrator, custodian and guardian, and other financial planning and advisory services.

Executives

Stuart M. Vorcheimer	officer: EVP, Comm & Ind Lndg	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Frank A. Cavallaro	officer: SEVP & Chief Financial Officer	132 YALE AVENUE, SOMERDALE NJ 08083
Patrick Campion	director	C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE ASSET MGMT, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
John P Babcock	officer: SEVP & Pres of Priv Wealth Mgt	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Anthony W. Spinelli	director	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, P.O. BOX 700, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Robert A. Plante	officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, P.O. BOX 700, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Carmen M Bowser	director	1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 600, ATLANTA GA 30309
F Duffield Meyercord	director
Douglas L Kennedy	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O PEAPACK GLADSTONE FINANCIAL CORP, 500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921-1538
Francesco S Rossi	officer: SVP/Chief Accounting Officer	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Vincent A Spero	officer: EVP, Head of Comml Real Estate	190 MAIN STREET, PO BOX 178, GLADSTONE NJ 07934
Peter D. Horst	director	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921
Steven A Kass	director	226 LANDIS AVENUE, VINELAND NJ 08360
Jeffrey J Carfora	officer: SEVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O PENNFED FINANCIAL SERVICES INC, 622 EAGLE ROCK AVENUE, WEST ORANGE NJ 07052
Gregory Martin Smith	officer: EVP, Head of Comml Banking	500 HILLS DRIVE, SUITE 300, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921