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MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $74.39 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-10-20), MasTec's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $74.39.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

MasTec's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for MasTec is -17.57%.

The historical rank and industry rank for MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

NYSE:MTZ' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.4   Med: 1.08   Max: 4.03
Current: 1.18

0.4
4.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of MasTec was 4.03. The lowest was 0.40. And the median was 1.08.

NYSE:MTZ's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked lower than
99.99% of the 6 Companies
in the Construction industry.

( Industry Median: 1.08 vs. NYSE:MTZ: 1.18 )

MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MasTec Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.95 57.05 44.18 76.31 70.82

MasTec Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 69.05 67.43 70.82 70.85 74.39

MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $5.040.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=5.040*14.7595
=74.39

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(74.39-87.46)/74.39
=-17.57 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MasTec  (NYSE:MTZ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


MasTec Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MasTec's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MasTec Business Description

MasTec logo
Industry
Industrials » Construction NAICS : 237130 SIC : 1623
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 S. Douglas Road, 12th Floor, Coral Gables, FL, USA, 33134
MasTec Inc is a leading infrastructure construction company operating primarily throughout North America. Its principal activities include engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrades of communications, energy, and utility infrastructure. The company installs wireless, wireline, and satellite communications; oil and gas pipeline infrastructure; conventional and renewable power generation; and other industrial systems. MasTec has five operating segments: Communications, Oil and Gas, Electrical Transmission, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, and Other. The majority of its revenue is derived from the Communications segments. The company markets services individually and in combination with other companies to provide a wide range of solutions for customers.
Executives
De Cardenas Alberto officer: EVP, General Counsel 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES X1 33134
Johnson Julia L director NETCOMMUNICATIONS LLC 614 GRAND HIGHWAY CLAREMONT FL 34711
Csiszar Ernst N director 2600 S RIVER ROAD DES PLAINES IL 60018
Dwyer Robert J director 880 SOUTH OCEAN BOULEVARD PALM BEACH FL 33480
Sorzano Jose S director AUSTIN GROUP INC 5305 LEE HIGHWAY NORTH ARLINGTON VA 22207
Palomarez Javier Alberto director 3405 PINNEY POINT DRIVE FLOWER MOUND TX 75022
Campbell C Robert director 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Mas Jose Ramon director, officer: CEO 800 DOUGLAS ROAD, 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Mas Jorge director 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Pita George officer: CFO 3000 NW 107TH AVENUE MIAMI FL 33172
Apple Robert E officer: COO 800 S DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Heuvelen John Van director 363 HIGH STREET DENVER CO 80218
Jaumot Frank E director 190 SE 19TH AVENUE POMPANO BEACH FL 33060
Restrepo Daniel A director C/O MASTEC, INC. 800 S. DOUGLAS RD., 12TH FLOOR CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Harris Ray officer: President 800 DOUGLAS ROAD 12TH FLOOR - MASTEC CORAL GABLES FL 33134

MasTec Headlines

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