GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » USA » NYSE » Snap-on Inc (NYSE:SNA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Switch to:

Snap-on Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

: $343.86 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 1978. Start your Free Trial

As of today (2022-08-15), Snap-on's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $343.86.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Snap-on's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Snap-on is 32.95%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Snap-on's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SNA' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.63   Max: 13.86
Current: 0.67

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Snap-on was 13.86. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.63.

SNA's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
64.65% of 314 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs SNA: 0.67

Snap-on Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Snap-on's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Snap-on Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 235.77 324.10 421.08 337.55 353.91

Snap-on Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 383.51 391.26 353.91 332.86 343.86

Snap-on Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.80%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.80% which is less than 20% and higher than 5% => Growth Rate: 11.80%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $15.940.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the Earnings Per Share without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Snap-on's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.118)/(1+0.09) = 1.0256880733945
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Earnings per Share (Diluted)*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=15.940*21.5721
=343.86

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(343.86-230.57)/343.86
=32.95 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Snap-on  (NYSE:SNA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Snap-on Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Snap-on's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Snap-on Business Description

Snap-on logo
Industry
Address
2801 80th Street, Kenosha, WI, USA, 53143
Snap-on is a manufacturer of premium tools and software for repair professionals. Hand tools are sold through franchisee-operated mobile vans that serve auto technicians who purchase tools at their own expense. A unique element of its business model is that franchisees bear significant risk, as they must invest in the mobile van, inventory, and software. At the same time, franchisees extend personal credit directly to technicians on an individual tool basis. Snap-on currently operates three segments-repair systems and information, commercial and industrial, and tools. The company's finance arm provides financing to franchisees to run their operations, which includes offering loans and leases for mobile vans.
Executives
Ozolins Marty V. officer: Vice President & Controller 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Arregui Jesus officer: Sr VP & President - Commercial 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Chambers Timothy L officer: Sr VP & Pres - Tools 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Miller Richard Thomas officer: VP, Gen Counsel & Secretary 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Lemerand June C officer: VP & Chief Information Officer 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Strege Richard K officer: Vice President & Controller 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Adams David Charles director C/O CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION 4 BECKER FARM ROAD ROSELAND NJ 07068
Banerjee Anup R officer: Sr VP & Chief Devel. Officer 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Stebbins Donald J director C/O WABCO HOLDINGS INC. ONE CENTENNIAL AVENUE PISCATAWAY NJ 08855
Gillis Ruth Ann M director 10 SOUTH DEERBORN STREET 37TH FLOOR CHICAGO IL 80603
Knueppel Henry W director 200 STATE STREET BELOIT WI 53511
Sherrill Gregg M director 5757 N. GREEN BAY AVENUE P.O. BOX 591 MILWAUKEE WI 53201-0591
Pagliari Aldo John officer: SVP-Finance & CFO 2801 80TH STREET KENOSHA WI 53143
Jones Nathan J director DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Lehman William Dudley director

Snap-on Headlines

Get WordPress Plugins for easy affiliate links on Stock Tickers and Guru Names | Earn affiliate commissions by embedding GuruFocus Charts
GuruFocus Affiliate Program: Earn up to $400 per referral. ( Learn More)