Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $104.95 (As of Today)

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As of today (2023-05-31), Capri Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $104.95.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Capri Holdings's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Capri Holdings is 66.61%.

The industry rank for Capri Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CPRI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.81
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Capri Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Capri Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Capri Holdings Annual Data

Trend

Mar13

Mar14

Mar15

Mar16

Mar17

Mar18

Mar19

Mar20

Mar21

Mar22

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Capri Holdings Quarterly Data
	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)																-	-	-	-	-

Capri Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 20% which is NO less than 20% => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $3.050.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Capri Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.1) = 1.0909090909091
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

3.050

34.4098

104.95

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(104.95	-	35.045)	/	104.95
	=	66.61 %

Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Capri Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Capri Holdings (NYSE:CPRI) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Capri Holdings Ltd (NYSE:CPRI) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MKO:Germany CAPH34:Brazil

Address

33 Kingsway, London, GBR, WC2B 6UF

Website

http://www.capriholdings.com

Michael Kors, Versace, and Jimmy Choo are the brands of Capri Holdings, a marketer, distributor, and retailer of upscale accessories and apparel. Kors, Capri's largest brand, offers handbags, footwear, and apparel through more than 800 company-owned stores, wholesale, and e-commerce. Versace (acquired in 2018) is known for its ready-to-wear luxury fashion, while Jimmy Choo (acquired in 2017) is best known for women's luxury footwear. John Idol has served as CEO since 2003.

Executives

Joshua Schulman	officer: CEO - Michael Kors	603 WEST 50TH STREET, NEW YORK X1 10019
Jenna Hendricks	officer: SVP, Chief People Officer	33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Marilyn C Crouther	director	9300 LEE HIGHWAY, FAIRFAX VA 22031
Daniel Purefoy	officer: SVP, Global Ops	33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Ann Mclaughlin Korologos	director	PO BOX 3599, BATTLECREEK MI 49016-3599
Freestone Robin Anthony David	director	33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Jean Tomlin	director	C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Thomas Jr. Edwards	officer: EVP, CFO, COO & Treasurer	6820 LBJ FREEWAY, DALLAS TX 75240
Krista A Mcdonough	officer: SVP, General Counsel	33 KINGSWAY, LONDON X0 WC2B 6UF
Cathy Marie Robinson	officer: SVP, Corp Str & Ch Ops Off	C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Michael David Kors	director, officer: Hon Chair & Chief Creative Off	C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, ATTN. LEE SPORN, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jane A. Thompson	director	C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Stephen F Reitman	director	11 WEST 42ND STREET, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
M William Benedetto	director	11 WEST 42ND STREET, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
John D Idol	director, officer: Chairman & CEO	650 MADISON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022