GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Copart Inc (NAS:CPRT) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Copart (Copart) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $27.59 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1994. Start your Free Trial

What is Copart Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-25), Copart's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $27.59.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Copart's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Copart is -100.14%.

The industry rank for Copart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CPRT's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked worse than
87.02% of 131 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.75 vs CPRT: 2.00

Copart Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Copart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Copart Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Copart Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.61 9.99 16.40 33.11 30.14

Copart Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.28 30.97 30.14 29.06 30.38

Competitive Comparison of Copart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Copart's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Copart's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Copart's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Copart's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Copart Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.70%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Copart's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 24.50%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.883.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Copart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.883*31.2501
=27.59

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(27.59-55.22)/27.59
=-100.14 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Copart  (NAS:CPRT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Copart Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Copart's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Copart (Copart) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14185 Dallas Parkway, Suite 300, Dallas, TX, USA, 75254
Based in Dallas, Copart operates an online salvage vehicle auction with operations in 11 countries across North America, Europe, and the Middle East, facilitating over 3.5 million transactions annually. The company utilizes its virtual bidding platform, VB3, to connect vehicle sellers with over 750,000 registered buyers around the world. Buyers primarily consist of vehicle dismantlers, rebuilders, individuals and used vehicle retailers. About 80% of Copart's vehicle volume is supplied by auto insurance companies holding vehicles deemed a total loss. Copart also offers services such as vehicle transportation, storage, title transfer, and salvage value estimation. The company primarily operates on a consignment basis and collects fees based on the vehicle's final selling price.
Executives
Daniel J Englander director C/O AMERICA'S CARMART, 802 SOUTHEAST PLAZA AVE #200, BENTONVILLE AR 72712
Willis J Johnson director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman of the Board
Stephen Fisher director C/O EBAY INC., 2065 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE X1 95125
Matt Blunt director C/O COPART, INC., 4665 BUSINESS CENTER DRIVE, FAIRFIELD CA 94534
A Jayson Adair director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
Steven D Cohan director
James E Meeks director
Thomas N Tryforos director 323 RAILROAD AVE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Leah C Stearns officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CBRE, 2100 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1250, DALLAS TX 75201
Diane M Morefield director 200 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 1700, CHICAGO IL 60606
Carl Sparks director 4315 NORTHAVEN ROAD, DALLAS TX 75229
Jeffrey Liaw officer: Chief Financial Officer 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Cherylyn Harley Lebon director C/O COPART, INC., 14185 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75254
John F North officer: Chief Financial Officer 150 N. BARTLETT STREET, MEDFORD OR 97501
William E Franklin officer: Executive Vice President 3399 PEACHTREE RD NE STE 700, ATLANTA GA 30326

Copart (Copart) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Q2 2021 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q3 2021 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q2 2020 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Director Stephen Fisher Sells 160,000 Shares of Copart Inc

By GuruFocus Research 10-12-2023

Q1 2020 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q2 2019 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024

Q1 2024 Copart Inc Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 01-22-2024