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Bionano Genomics (Bionano Genomics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-450.50 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Bionano Genomics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-25), Bionano Genomics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-450.50.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Bionano Genomics's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Bionano Genomics is N/A.

The industry rank for Bionano Genomics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BNGO's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 2.005
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Bionano Genomics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bionano Genomics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bionano Genomics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Bionano Genomics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Bionano Genomics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Bionano Genomics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Bionano Genomics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bionano Genomics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Bionano Genomics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bionano Genomics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Bionano Genomics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.70%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Bionano Genomics's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 34.90%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-14.416.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Bionano Genomics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-14.416*31.2501
=-450.50

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-450.5-0.752)/-450.5
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Bionano Genomics  (NAS:BNGO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Bionano Genomics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Bionano Genomics (Bionano Genomics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9540 Towne Centre Drive, Suite 100, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Bionano Genomics Inc is a life sciences instrumentation company in the genome analysis space. It is engaged in the development and marketing of the Saphyr system, a platform for ultra-sensitive and ultra-specific structural variation detection that enables researchers and clinicians to accelerate the search for new diagnostics and therapeutic targets and to streamline the study of changes in chromosomes. Geographically, it operates in Americas, EMEA and Asia Pacific; majority revenue being generated from Americas.
Executives
Gulsen Kama officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Hannah Mamuszka director C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
R. Erik Holmlin director, officer: President and CEO 4088 COMMERCIAL AVE., NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Christopher P. Stewart officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Jonathan V. Dixon officer: General Counsel C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Yvonne Linney director C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David L Barker director 9885 TOWNE CENTRE DR, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Aleksandar Rajkovic director 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Vincent Jung-fai Wong director C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Soheil Shams officer: Chief Informatics Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Richard Shippy officer: Chief Business Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Robert J Priar officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Alka Chaubey officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Heather Adams officer: Chief Administrative Officer C/O BIONANO GENOMICS, INC., 9540 TOWNE CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Kristiina Md Vuori director C/O WEBMD HEALTH CORP., 111 EIGHTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011