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Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

: $-1.11 (As of Today)
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As of today (2021-11-29), Boston Omaha's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-1.11.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Boston Omaha's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Boston Omaha is N/A.


Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Boston Omaha Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Premium Member Only - - - - -

Boston Omaha Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 8%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. We used the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer, then added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average free cash flow growth rate in the past 10 years. If it is higher than 20%, we use 20%. If it is less than 5%, we use 5% instead. => For companies with Average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years less than 5%, GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.075.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Boston Omaha's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.08) = 0.97222222222222
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.08) = 0.96296296296296

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.075*14.7595
=-1.11

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-1.11-29.29)/-1.11
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Boston Omaha  (NAS:BOMN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Boston Omaha Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Boston Omaha Business Description

Boston Omaha logo
Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1601 Dodge Street, Suite 3300, Omaha, NE, USA, 68102
Boston Omaha Corp is a US-based company which invests in real estate. Its operations include its ownership of multiple billboards in Florida, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Alabama and equity method investments in several real estate companies. The company operates three separate lines of business, outdoor billboard advertising, surety insurance and related brokerage activities, and broadband services. It also engages in investments in real estate management and related activities. The company generates the majority of the revenue from billboard rentals.
Executives
Weisenburger Joshua Paul officer: Chief Financial Officer 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Briner Bradford B director 705 GIMGHOUL ROAD CHAPEL HILL NC 27514
Keating Brendan Joseph director 8918 SPANISH RIDGE AVENUE, SUITE 100 LAS VEGAS NV 89148
Boulderado Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 292 NEWBURY STREET SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115
Boulderado Group, Llc other: Manager is Director and Co-CEO 304 NEWBURY STREET SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115
Boulderado Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 292 NEWBURY STREET BOSTON MA 02115
Rozek Alexander Buffett director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 292 NEWBURY ST #333 BOSTON MA 02115
Magnolia Group, Llc 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY STREET SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Boc Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Boc I, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST. SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Peterson Adam K director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer 1411 HARNEY STREET, SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Magnolia Capital Fund, Lp 10 percent owner 1411 HARNEY ST., SUITE 200 OMAHA NE 68102
Lafoy William Scott officer: CEO of Link Media Holdings,LLC C/O LINK MEDIA OUTDOOR 200 MANSELL CT. EAST, BLDG 200 STE. 360 ROSWELL GA 30076
Royal Jeffrey C director 5420 NICHOLAS STREET OMAHA NE 68132
Kenan Frank H. Ii director C/O BOSTON OMAHA CORPORATION., 292 NEWBURY ST. SUITE 333 BOSTON MA 02115

Boston Omaha Headlines

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