Comcast (Comcast) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $63.37 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)

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What is Comcast Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-25), Comcast's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $63.37.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Comcast's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Comcast is 36.55%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Comcast's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CMCSA' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.38 Med: 0.58 Max: 0.75
Current: 0.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Comcast was 0.75. The lowest was 0.38. And the median was 0.58.

CMCSA's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
68.89% of 45 companies
in the Telecommunication Services industry
Industry Median: 0.98 vs CMCSA: 0.63

Comcast Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Comcast's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Comcast Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Comcast Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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96.33

69.54

80.55

54.87

69.18

Comcast Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															54.87	57.71	63.75	66.94	69.18

Competitive Comparison of Comcast's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Comcast's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Comcast's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Comcast's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Comcast's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Comcast Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.65%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 11.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Comcast's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 11.90%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 11.90%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.4884.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Comcast's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.119)/(1+0.11) = 1.0081081081081
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

3.4884

18.1669

63.37

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(63.37	-	40.21)	/	63.37
	=	36.55 %

Comcast (NAS:CMCSA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Comcast Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Comcast's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Comcast (Comcast) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Telecommunication Services » Comcast Corp (NAS:CMCSA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CCZ:USA CMCS A:Mexico 1CMCSA:Italy CTP2d:UK 0QYF:UK CTP2:Germany CTP2:Germany CTP2:Germany CTP2:Germany CMCSA:Chile CMCS34:Brazil

Address

One Comcast Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103-2838

Website

https://www.comcastcorporation.com

Comcast is made up of three parts. The core cable business owns networks capable of providing television, internet access, and phone services to 62 million U.S. homes and businesses, or nearly half of the country. About 55% of the homes in this territory subscribe to at least one Comcast service. Comcast acquired NBCUniversal from General Electric in 2011. NBCU owns several cable networks, including CNBC, MSNBC, and USA, the NBC broadcast network, the Peacock streaming platform, several local NBC affiliates, Universal Studios, and several theme parks. Sky, acquired in 2018, is the dominant television provider in the U.K. and has invested heavily in proprietary content to build this position. Sky is also the largest pay-television provider in Italy and has a presence in Germany and Austria.

Executives

Jason Armstrong	officer: CFO & Treasurer	C/O COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Louise F. Brady	director	22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NY 07054
Baltimore Thomas J Jr	director	PARK HOTELS & RESORTS INC., 1775 TYSONS BLVD, 7TH FLOOR, TYSONS VA 22102
Jennifer Khoury	officer: Chief Communications Officer	C/O COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kenneth J Bacon	director	5404 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 410, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Daniel C. Murdock	officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer	1500 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
David N Watson	officer: Sr. EVP	1100 CASSATT ROAD, BERWYN PA 19312
Brian L Roberts	director, officer: Chairman of Board, Pres. & CEO	COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, 1701 JFK BOULEVARD, PHILIDELPHIA PA 19103
Maritza Gomez Montiel	director	C/O APTARGROUP, INC., 265 EXCHANGE DRIVE, SUITE 100, CRYSTAL LAKE IL 60014
Adam Louis Miller	officer: Sr. EVP	ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Dana Strong	officer: CEO - Sky	C/O COMCAST CORPORATION, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Jeff Shell	officer: CEO - NBCUniversal	C/O COMCAST CORPORATION, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Naomi M. Bergman	director	210 E. EARLL DRIVE, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Sheldon M Bonovitz	director
David L Cohen	officer: Executive Vice President