GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

MPLX LP (MPLX LP) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $56.76 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2012. Start your Free Trial

What is MPLX LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-25), MPLX LP's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $56.76.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

MPLX LP's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for MPLX LP is 26.22%.

The historical rank and industry rank for MPLX LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MPLX's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Oil & Gas industry.
Industry Median: 1.115
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

MPLX LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MPLX LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MPLX LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

MPLX LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

MPLX LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of MPLX LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, MPLX LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MPLX LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, MPLX LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MPLX LP's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



MPLX LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.70%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 10.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> MPLX LP's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 10.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 10.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.429.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

MPLX LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.105)/(1+0.11) = 0.9954954954955
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.429*16.5535
=56.76

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (56.76 - 41.88) / 56.76
= 26.22 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MPLX LP  (NYSE:MPLX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


MPLX LP Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MPLX LP's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MPLX LP (MPLX LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » MPLX LP (NYSE:MPLX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 East Hardin Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
MPLX is a partnership that owns both pipelines and gathering and processing assets with extensive holdings in the Appalachian region. The asset base is made up of pipeline assets dropped down from Marathon Petroleum, its sponsor, and gathering and processing assets from MarkWest, which it acquired in 2015. MPLX also acquired Andeavor Logistics in July 2019.
Executives
Christine S Breves director 600 GRANT STREET, SUITE 6100, PITTSBURGH PA 16059
Shawn M Lyon officer: Senior VP, Log. & Storage C/O MPLX, 200 E HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Gregory Scott Floerke officer: Exec VP and CCO C/O MARKWEST ENERGY PARTNERS, L.P., 1515 ARAPAHOE STREET, TOWER 1, SUITE 160, DENVER CO 80202
Frank M Semple director, officer: Vice Chairman 1515 ARAPAHOE ST., TOWER 2, SUITE 700, DENVER CO 80202
Kelly D Wright officer: VP and Controller C/O MPLX LP, 200 E HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
John J Quaid officer: Exec VP and CFO C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 SOUTH MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Maryann T. Mannen director C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 SOUTH MAIN ST, FINDLAY OH 45840
Ttc Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 539 SOUTH MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Timothy J Aydt officer: Chief Comm. Ofc.,Exec. VP C/O MPLX LP, 200 E. HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Garry L. Peiffer director, officer: President C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 S. MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Gary R Heminger director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION, 539 S. MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Dan D Sandman director
Tesoro Logistics Gp, Llc other: Less than 10% owner 200 E. HARDIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840
Western Refining, Inc. 10 percent owner 539 SOUTH MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840-3229
Tesoro Refining & Marketing Co Llc other: Less than 10% owner 539 SOUTH MAIN STREET, FINDLAY OH 45840-3229

MPLX LP (MPLX LP) Headlines

From GuruFocus

MPLX LP Announces Quarterly Distribution

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 01-25-2023

MPLX LP Increases Quarterly Distribution

By PRNewswire 10-24-2023

MPLX LP Announces Quarterly Distribution

By PRNewswire 07-25-2023

MPLX LP Announces Quarterly Distribution

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 04-25-2023

MPLX LP files 2022 Form 10-K

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 02-23-2023

Whistler Pipeline expansion reaches final investment decision

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 05-02-2022

MPLX LP Announces Quarterly Distribution

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 04-26-2022

MPLX LP's Dividend Analysis

By GuruFocus Research 11-01-2023