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Avalon Holdings (Avalon Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1.19 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Avalon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.19. The stock price of Avalon Holdings is $2.20. Therefore, Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AWX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 1.02   Max: 3.82
Current: 1.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avalon Holdings was 3.82. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 1.02.

AWX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
60.95% of 105 companies
in the Waste Management industry
Industry Median: 1.35 vs AWX: 1.85

Avalon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avalon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avalon Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.21 0.68 3.76 2.56 1.19

Avalon Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.56 1.48 2.48 1.69 1.19

Competitive Comparison of Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Waste Management subindustry, Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Avalon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avalon Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-2.49.

Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.919945764728*-2.49216+36.716*0.8)/3.899
=1.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avalon Holdings  (AMEX:AWX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avalon Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.20/1.1927950661645
=1.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avalon Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avalon Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avalon Holdings (Avalon Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One American Way, Warren, OH, USA, 44484-5555
Avalon Holdings Corp is a waste management company. The company provides waste management services to industrial, commercial, municipal and governmental customers in selected northeastern and midwestern U.S. markets. It has two operating segments. The Waste management services segment which is the key revenue driver, includes waste disposal services, captive landfill operations, and saltwater injection well operations. Its Golf and related operations segment include management of golf courses and related clubhouses, a hotel, fitness centers, tennis courts, salon and spa services, dining, banquet and conference facilities and a travel agency.
Executives
Bryan Saksa officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER ONE AMERICAN WAY, WARREN OH 44484
Christine Bell officer: President ONE AMERICAN WAY, WARREN OH 44484
Stephen L Gordon director 41 WOODLAND PARK DRIVE, TENAFLY NJ 07670
Kenneth J Mcmahon officer: See Remarks ONE AMERICAN WAY, WARREN OH 44484
Kurtis Dean Gramley director 1001 HIGHLAND ROAD, SHARON PA 16146
Mintbroker International, Ltd. 10 percent owner ELIZABETH AVE. & BAY STREET, NASSAU C5 N-8340
David G Bozanich director 7842 WALNUT STREET, YOUNGSTOWN OH 44512
Timothy C Coxson officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE AMERICAN WAY, WARREN OH 44484 5555
Robert Michael Arnoni director 3757 LIBRARY ROAD, SUITE 250, PITTSBURGH PA 15234
Advisory Research Inc 10 percent owner 180 N. STETSON AVENUE, SUITE 5500, CHICAGO IL 60601
Advisory Research Microcap Value Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 180 NORTH STETSON AVENUE, SUITE 5500, CHICAGO IL 60601
Lourde John Constable 10 percent owner 5 RADNOR CORP CENTER, 100 MATSONFORD ROAD SUITE 520, RADNOR PA 19087
Nalluri Anil Choudary Inc P/s Plan & Trust U/a/dtd 7/1/80 10 percent owner 5500 MARKET ST #128, C/O ANIL C NALLURI MD INC, YOUNGSTOWN OH 44512
Thomas C Kniss director ONE AMERICAN WAY, WARREN OH 44484

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