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BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $48.77 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $48.77. The stock price of BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings is $75.78. Therefore, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BJ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 1.9   Max: 2.48
Current: 1.55

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings was 2.48. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 1.90.

BJ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.33% of 225 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.88 vs BJ: 1.55

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - - 29.24 48.77

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.24 32.24 43.78 44.37 48.77

Competitive Comparison of BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $367.72.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.66034680465*367.72176+1458.851*0.8)/134.458
=48.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings  (NYSE:BJ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=75.78/48.773664112335
=1.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings (BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
350 Campus Drive, Marlborough, MA, USA, 01752
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc is a warehouse club and gas station operator. The company provides various products such as television and electronics, furniture, computers and tablets, appliances, food products, and others. It generates its revenue from the sale of merchandise.
Executives
Joseph Mcgrail officer: SVP, Controller C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB HOLDINGS, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Jeff Desroches officer: EVP, Club Operations Officer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Laura L. Felice officer: SVP, Controller C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
William C. Werner officer: SVP, Strat. Planning & Anlys. C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Robert W. Eddy officer: EVP, Chief Fin. & Admin Off. 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Anjana Harve officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB HOLDINGS, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Monica Schwartz officer: SVP, Chief Digital Officer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB HOLDINGS, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Steven L Ortega director C/O L CATTERTON, 599 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Cathy Marie Robinson director C/O MICHAEL KORS (USA), INC., 11 WEST 42ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10036
Scott Kessler officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Graham Luce officer: SVP, Secretary C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Kenneth M. Parent director C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
Robert Allan Steele director 1 PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Brian Poulliot officer: EVP, Chief Membrship Officer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 25 RESEARCH DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
Kristyn M. Sugrue officer: SVP, Treasurer C/O BJ'S WHOLESALE CLUB, INC., 25 RESEARCH DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581