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Conagra Brands (Conagra Brands) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $34.87 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Conagra Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.87. The stock price of Conagra Brands is $30.24. Therefore, Conagra Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Conagra Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74   Med: 1.04   Max: 1.36
Current: 0.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Conagra Brands was 1.36. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 1.04.

CAG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
62.71% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11 vs CAG: 0.87

Conagra Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Conagra Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Conagra Brands Annual Data
Trend May14 May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.93 33.87 40.52 33.95 32.14

Conagra Brands Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.99 32.14 32.45 33.44 34.87

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Conagra Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Conagra Brands Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Conagra Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Conagra Brands's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Conagra Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Conagra Brands's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $988.85.

Conagra Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*988.848+9154.9*0.8)/480.000
=34.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Conagra Brands  (NYSE:CAG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Conagra Brands's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=30.24/34.871042989514
=0.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Conagra Brands Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Conagra Brands's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Conagra Brands (Conagra Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
222 W. Merchandise Mart Plaza, Suite 1300, Chicago, IL, USA, 60654
Conagra Brands is a packaged food company that operates predominantly in the United States (over 90% of revenue and profits). Most of its revenue comes from frozen food, including brands like Marie Callender's, Healthy Choice, Banquet, and Birds Eye. Conagra also sells snacks, shelf-stable staples, and refrigerated food through brands like Duncan Hines, Hunt's, Slim Jim, Vlasic, Orville Redenbacher's, Reddi-wip, Wish-Bone, and Chef Boyardee. The company primarily sells through the U.S. retail channel, with just 8% of fiscal 2023 revenue coming from international markets and 9% from foodservice.
Executives
Richard H Lenny director ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC., 155 HARLEM AVE., GLENVIEW IL 60025
Francisco Fraga director 222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Thomas M Mcgough officer: EVP and Co-COO C/O CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS 1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
William Eric Johnson officer: SVP, Corporate Controller 222 MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, SUITE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Charisse Brock officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer C/CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
Robert G Wise officer: SVP, Corporate Controller C/O CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Carey Bartell officer: EVP, GC and Corp. Secretary C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE. 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Denise Paulonis director 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Emanuel Chirico director 7 NEW YORK PLACE, BRONSVILLE NY 10708
Batcheler Colleen officer: SVP and General Counsel ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68102
Darren Serrao officer: EVP and Co-COO C/CONAGRA FOODS, INC., ONE CONAGRA DRIVE, MS1-330, OMAHA NE 68102
George Dowdie director C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Fran Horowitz-bonadies director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Alexandre Eboli officer: EVP,Chief Supply Chain Officer C/O CONAGRA BRANDS, INC., 222 W. MERCHANDISE MART PLAZA, STE. 1300, CHICAGO IL 60654
Jana Partners Llc director, other: See Remarks 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153

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