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Avis Budget Group (Avis Budget Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-3,330.43 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Avis Budget Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-3,330.43. The stock price of Avis Budget Group is $103.30. Therefore, Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CAR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.945
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Avis Budget Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avis Budget Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avis Budget Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1,916.16 -1,222.86 -1,673.31 -2,820.04 -3,330.43

Avis Budget Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2,820.04 -2,983.85 -3,075.59 -3,191.68 -3,330.43

Competitive Comparison of Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Avis Budget Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avis Budget Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-8,194.40.

Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-8194.4+-349/0.8)/36.700
=-3,330.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avis Budget Group  (NAS:CAR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avis Budget Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=103.30/-3330.4298715903
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avis Budget Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avis Budget Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avis Budget Group (Avis Budget Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6 Sylvan Way, Parsippany, NJ, USA, 07054
Avis Budget Group Inc is a provider of automotive vehicle rental and car-sharing services. Its brands include Avis, Budget, and Zipcar. Avis is targeted to serve the premium commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry, while Budget is focused on value-conscious customers. The company operates its own network of rental locations and licenses its brands to franchisees. Zipcar is a car-sharing service that allows members to use the company-owned Zipcar fleet at an hourly rate. The company's largest region by revenue is the Americas.
Executives
Joseph A. Ferraro officer: President, Americas 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Izilda P Martins officer: Sr VP and Acting CAO 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Patrick K Rankin officer: President, International 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Lynn Krominga director 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Edward P Linnen officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Bernardo Hees director C/O BUNGE LIMITED, 1391 TIMBERLAKE MANOR PARKWAY, CHESTERFIELD MO 63017
Karthik R. Sarma director, 10 percent owner ONE BRYANT PARK, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jean M Sera officer: SVP, GC & Corp. Sec. AVIS BUDGET GROUP, 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Glenn Lurie director C/O SYNCHRONOSS TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 200 CROSSING BLVD., BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Ravi Simhambhatla officer: EVP, CDIO - see remarks 6 SYLVAN WAY, AVIS BUDGET GROUP, INC., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Anu Hariharan director 2550 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 150, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Cathleen Degenova officer: Chief Accounting Officer 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Veresh Sita officer: EVP, CDIO (1) 6 SYLVAN WAY, AVIS BUDGET GROUP, INC., PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Brian J Choi director C/O SRS INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC, ONE BRYANT PARK, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Srs Investment Management, Llc 10 percent owner 1 BRYANT PARK, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036

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