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Emerald Holding (Emerald Holding) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $8.81 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Emerald Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.81. The stock price of Emerald Holding is $6.07. Therefore, Emerald Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Emerald Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EEX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 0.6   Max: 0.72
Current: 0.69

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Emerald Holding was 0.72. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 0.60.

EEX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
60.6% of 604 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.885 vs EEX: 0.69

Emerald Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Emerald Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Emerald Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 6.62 10.48 8.81

Emerald Holding Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.48 10.02 9.82 9.17 8.81

Competitive Comparison

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Emerald Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Emerald Holding Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Emerald Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Emerald Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Emerald Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Emerald Holding's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $70.34.

Emerald Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*70.336+-92.5/0.8)/62.885
=8.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Emerald Holding  (NYSE:EEX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Emerald Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=6.07/8.809707400076
=0.69

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Emerald Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Emerald Holding (Emerald Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Broadway, 14th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10005
Emerald Holding Inc is an operator of B2B trade shows in the United States by NSF. It operates trade shows, which serve a large and broad set of global exhibitors and attendees, across multiple attractive, fragmented sectors that represent significant portions of the U.S. economy. The company operates trade shows in several broadly-defined industry sectors namely, Gift, Home and General Merchandise, Sports Design and Construction, Technology, Jewelry, Other Trade Shows, Other Events, and Other Marketing Services amongst other. It operates in three segments: Commerce; Design, Creative, and Technology; and All others.
Executives
Danielle Puceta officer: EVP, Content & Commerce 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Issa Jouaneh officer: President, Connections 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Brian Field officer: Chief Operating Officer EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
David Saul Levin director EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
William Charles officer: Chief Information Officer EMERALD EXPOSITIONS EVENTS, INC., 31910 DEL OBISPO STREET, SUITE 200, SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO CA 92675
Stacey Sayetta officer: General Counsel EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Mitchell Gendel officer: General Counsel EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
David B. Doft officer: CFO & Treasurer EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Herve Sedky officer: CEO & President EMERALD HOLDING, INC., 100 BROADWAY, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10005
Lynda M Clarizio director 200 N. MILWAUKEE AVENUE, VERNON HILLS IL 60061
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