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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-03-18), Express,'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-166.14. The stock price of Express, is $1.34. Therefore, Express,'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Express,'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Express, was 8.62. The lowest was 0.13. And the median was 0.55.
The historical data trend for Express,'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Express,'s Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Express,'s Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Express,'s Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Express,'s Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-77.81.
Express,'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Oct23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | -77.80576 | + | 147.955 | * | 0.8) | / | 3.746 | |
= | -166.14 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Express, (OTCPK:EXPR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Express,'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 1.34 | / | -166.14367095335 | |
= |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Express,'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Stewart Glendinning | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Yehuda Shmidman | director | C/O ICONIX BRAND GROUP, INC., 1450 BROADWAY, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018 |
Satish Mehta | director | C/O CHEWY, INC., 7700 WEST SUNRISE BLVD, PLANTATION FL 33322 |
Jason N Judd | officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer | 50 N THIRD ST, NEWARK OH 43055 |
Patricia E Lopez | director | 333 LUDLOW ST, STAMFORD CT 06902 |
Antonio Lucio | director | C/O EXPRESS INC., 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Laurel Krueger | officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec | ONE EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Periclis Pericleous | officer: SVP, CFO and Treasurer | 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Matthew C Moellering | officer: EVP, CAO,CFO, Treasurer & Sec. | C/O EXPRESS PARENT LLC, ONE LIMITED PARKWAY, COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Malissa Akay | officer: EVP, Chief Merch. Officer | 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Sara Tervo | officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer | 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Timothy G Baxter | director, officer: Chief Executive Officer | C/O EXPRESS, INC., 1 EXPRESS DR., COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
Contrarius Investment Management Ltd | 10 percent owner | 2 BOND STREET, ST. HELIER Y9 JE2 3NP |
Contrarius Investment Management (bermuda) Ltd | 10 percent owner | VICTORIA PLACE, 5TH FLOOR, 31 VICTORIA STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM 10 |
James A Hilt | officer: EVP, CMO, and ECommerce | 1 EXPRESS DRIVE, COLUMBUS OH 43230 |
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