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GuruFocus has detected 3 Warning Signs with Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc $FBHS.
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Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc (NYSE:FBHS)
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
$30.12 (As of Today)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today, Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's projected FCF intrinsic value is $30.12. The stock price of Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc is $62.85. Therefore, Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of today is 2.1.

FBHS' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.82   Max: 2.62
Current: 2.09

1.82
2.62

During the past 8 years, the highest Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio of Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc was 2.62. The lowest was 1.82. And the median was 2.29.

FBHS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
68% of the 331 Companies
in the Global Home Furnishings & Fixtures industry.

( Industry Median: 1.33 vs. FBHS: 2.09 )

Definition

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of total equity.

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + 0.8*Total Equity(most recent))/Shares Outstanding

In the case of negative total equity, the following formula is used (see the Total Equity section for the reason):

Value = ((Growth Multiple)*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) + Total Equity(most recent)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding


Here Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's FCF(6 year avg) is calculate as

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc Quarterly Data

201412201503201506201509201512201603201606201609201612201703
total_freecashflow 111-9192190110-50140184227-47
201206201209201212201303201306201309201312201403201406201409
total_freecashflow 7949134-871029690-17899106
201106201109201112201203
total_freecashflow 4119125-55

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's FCF(6 year avg) = $247.82.

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow(6 year avg)+Total Equity(Mar17)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding
=(11.1455672454*247.816666667+2429.2*0.8)/156.200
=30.12

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy medium after taking the above ideas into consideration. Learn more here.

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc's Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=62.85/30.1243106458
=2.09

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.


Related Terms

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based), Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), Free Cash Flow


Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc Annual Data

Dec09Dec10Dec11Dec12Dec13Dec14Dec15Dec16
Projected FCF 0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.0022.1129.40

Fortune Brands Home & Security Inc Quarterly Data

Dec14Mar15Jun15Sep15Dec15Mar16Jun16Sep16Dec16Mar17
Projected FCF 0.000.000.0020.7522.1121.3723.9626.5829.4030.12
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