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China International Capital (FRA:CIM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €0.36 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is China International Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), China International Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €0.36. The stock price of China International Capital is €0.99. Therefore, China International Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for China International Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CIM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.68   Med: 3.59   Max: 3.59
Current: 2.75

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of China International Capital was 3.59. The lowest was 2.68. And the median was 3.59.

FRA:CIM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
78.72% of 517 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs FRA:CIM: 2.75

China International Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China International Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China International Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

China International Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.12 -3.61 -3.55 -0.11 0.36

China International Capital Quarterly Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -0.11 - - 0.36

Competitive Comparison of China International Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, China International Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China International Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, China International Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China International Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



China International Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get China International Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €-465.02.

China International Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-465.01728571429+13433.969*0.8)/4827.257
=0.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China International Capital  (FRA:CIM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China International Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.99/0.79460954721285
=1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China International Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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China International Capital (FRA:CIM) Business Description

Address
1 Jianguomenwai Avenue, 27th and 28th Floor, China World Office 2, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100004
China International Capital Corp Ltd is a capital market operations company based in China. Its business is carried through investment banking, equity sales and trading, fixed income commodities and currencies, Asset Management; Wealth management, and private equity segments. The company derives its earnings predominantly from China and the rest from overseas. It generates maximum revenue from Wealth management segment.