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Simon Property Group (FRA:SQI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €83.73 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is Simon Property Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €83.73. The stock price of Simon Property Group is €133.30. Therefore, Simon Property Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:SQI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03   Med: 1.86   Max: 2.9
Current: 1.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Simon Property Group was 2.90. The lowest was 1.03. And the median was 1.86.

FRA:SQI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.62% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs FRA:SQI: 1.59

Simon Property Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Simon Property Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Simon Property Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.54 65.95 74.25 82.71 82.21

Simon Property Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 82.71 78.03 81.70 84.77 82.21

Competitive Comparison of Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Simon Property Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Simon Property Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Simon Property Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simon Property Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Simon Property Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Simon Property Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €2,524.87.

Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*2524.86832+2771.939*0.8)/325.924
=80.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Simon Property Group  (FRA:SQI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Simon Property Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=133.30/80.556158306578
=1.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Simon Property Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Simon Property Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Simon Property Group (FRA:SQI) Business Description

Industry
Address
225 West Washington Street, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 46204
Simon Property Group is the second-largest real estate investment trust in the United States. Its portfolio includes an interest in 231 properties: 136 traditional malls, 70 premium outlets, 14 Mills centers (a combination of a traditional mall, outlet center, and big-box retailers), 6 lifestyle centers, and 5 other retail properties. Simon's portfolio averaged $693 in sales per square foot over the 12 months prior to the pandemic. The company also owns a 21% interest in Klepierre, a European retail company with investments in shopping centers in 16 countries, and joint venture interests in 33 premium outlets across 11 countries.

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