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Hercules Capital (Hercules Capital) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.38 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Hercules Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.38. The stock price of Hercules Capital is $18.96. Therefore, Hercules Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 5.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HTGC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 4.93   Max: 19.73
Current: 5.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hercules Capital was 19.73. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 4.93.

HTGC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
95.26% of 929 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.92 vs HTGC: 5.61

Hercules Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hercules Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hercules Capital Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 1.75 4.42 0.67 3.38

Hercules Capital Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.67 1.20 2.95 1.44 3.38

Competitive Comparison of Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Asset Management subindustry, Hercules Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hercules Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Hercules Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hercules Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hercules Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hercules Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-97.14.

Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-97.14048+1802.706*0.8)/152.926
=3.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hercules Capital  (NYSE:HTGC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hercules Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.96/3.3830301989146
=5.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hercules Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hercules Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hercules Capital (Hercules Capital) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Hamilton Avenue, Suite 310, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 94301
Hercules Capital Inc is a specialty finance company engaged in providing senior secured loans to high-growth, venture capital-backed companies in a variety of technology, life sciences, and sustainable and renewable technology industries. It invests primarily in structured debt with warrants and, to a lesser extent, in senior debt and equity investments. The company lends to and invests in portfolio companies in various technology-related industries including technology, drug discovery and development, biotechnology, life sciences, healthcare, and sustainable and renewable technology.
Executives
Nikos Theodosopoulos director C/O ARISTA NETWORKS, INC., 5453 GREAT AMERICA PARKWAY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Christian Follmann officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Gayle A Crowell director
Wade Loo director C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Scott Bluestein officer: Chief Investment Officer 303 COLUMBUS AVENUE, APT 506, BOSTON MA 02116
Deanne Aguirre director C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Thomas J Fallon director C/O INFINERA CORPORATION, 140 CASPIAN COURT, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Kiersten Zaza Botelho officer: General Counsel & CCO C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Paramjeet K Randhawa director C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Carol L Foster director C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Seth H Meyer officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Jorge Titinger director 7005 SOUTHFRONT ROAD, LIVERMORE CA 94551
Doreen Woo Ho director C/O HERCULES CAPITAL, INC., 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Waldt Gerard R Jr. officer: Interim Chief Accounting Off 400 HAMILTON AVENUE SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Bradford C. Koenig director C/O GSV CAPITAL CORP., 2925 WOODSIDE ROAD, WOODSIDE CA 94062