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Telecom Italia SpA (MIL:TITR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: €0.49 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-18), Telecom Italia SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €0.49. The stock price of Telecom Italia SpA is €0.2246. Therefore, Telecom Italia SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Telecom Italia SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MIL:TITR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.49   Max: 0.76
Current: 0.47

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Telecom Italia SpA was 0.76. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.49.

MIL:TITR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.21% of 279 companies
in the Telecommunication Services industry
Industry Median: 1 vs MIL:TITR: 0.47

Telecom Italia SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Telecom Italia SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Telecom Italia SpA Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.95 1.03 1.41 0.82 0.61

Telecom Italia SpA Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.65 0.61 0.56 0.54 0.49

Competitive Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Telecom Italia SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Telecom Italia SpA Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Telecom Italia SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Telecom Italia SpA's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Telecom Italia SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Telecom Italia SpA's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €-72.80.

Telecom Italia SpA's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-72.8+13992*0.8)/21252.196
=0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Telecom Italia SpA  (MIL:TITR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Telecom Italia SpA's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.2246/0.49409098258899
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Telecom Italia SpA Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Telecom Italia SpA (MIL:TITR) Business Description

Address
Corso D'Italia, 41, Roma, ITA, 00198
Telecom Italia is the incumbent telecommunications operator in Italy with more than 30% market share in the Italian mobile market and 45% market share in broadband. In the mobile market, it competes with Vodafone, Wind Tre and Iliad. In November 2023 TIM sold its fixed network to KKR for EUR 18.8 billion, and will become a pure service provider. TIM also has a 20% wireless market share in Brazil and has started building a broadband network in the country, although its reach is very small compared with its competitors Telefonica and America Movil.

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