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Advanced Micro Devices (Advanced Micro Devices) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $40.19 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Advanced Micro Devices's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.19. The stock price of Advanced Micro Devices is $146.64. Therefore, Advanced Micro Devices's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advanced Micro Devices's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AMD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.71   Med: 11.22   Max: 34.22
Current: 3.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Advanced Micro Devices was 34.22. The lowest was 1.71. And the median was 11.22.

AMD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.37% of 582 companies
in the Semiconductors industry
Industry Median: 2.01 vs AMD: 3.65

Advanced Micro Devices Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advanced Micro Devices's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 1.34 [6] => 4.68 [7] => 12.83 [8] => 37.80 [9] => 40.19 )
Advanced Micro Devices Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.34 4.68 12.83 37.80 40.19

Advanced Micro Devices Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.80 38.21 38.89 39.34 40.19

Competitive Comparison

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Advanced Micro Devices's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advanced Micro Devices Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Advanced Micro Devices's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advanced Micro Devices's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Advanced Micro Devices Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Advanced Micro Devices's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,385.60.

Advanced Micro Devices's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1385.6+55892*0.8)/1625.000
=40.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advanced Micro Devices  (NAS:AMD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Advanced Micro Devices's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=146.64/40.189103031997
=3.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advanced Micro Devices Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Advanced Micro Devices (Advanced Micro Devices) Business Description

Address
2485 Augustine Drive, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95054
Advanced Micro Devices designs a variety of digital semiconductors for markets such as PCs, gaming consoles, data centers, industrial, and automotive applications, among others. AMD's traditional strength was in central processing units, CPUs, and graphics processing units, or GPUs, used in PCs and data centers. Additionally, the firm supplies the chips found in prominent game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox. In 2022, the firm acquired field-programmable gate array, or FPGA, leader Xilinx to diversify its business and augment its opportunities in key end markets such as the data center and automotive.
Executives
Darla M Smith other: Chief Accounting Officer 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Lisa T Su officer: SVP, GM Global Business Units C/O ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC., 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Paul Darren Grasby officer: SVP & CSO, President EMEA 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Philip Guido officer: EVP & Chief Commercial Officer 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Mark D Papermaster officer: SVP & Chief Technology Officer ONE AMD PLACE, SUNNYVALE CA 94088
Victor Peng officer: President, AECG MIPS TECHNOLOGIES INC, 1225 CHARLESTON ROAD, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Harry A Wolin officer: SVP & GC ONE AMD PLACE, SUNNYVALE CA 94088
Forrest Eugene Norrod officer: SVP & GM EESC 9507 GLENLAKE DRIVE, AUSTIN TX 78730
Jack M Huynh officer: SVP & GM, Computing & Graphics 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Devinder Kumar officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer ONE AMD PLACE, MS 68, SUNNYVALE CA 94088
Rick Bergman other: SR VP & GM GPG C/O ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC., 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Jean X. Hu officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer 2485 AUGUSTINE DRIVE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Jon A Olson director 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
Elizabeth W Vanderslice director C/O XILINX INC, 2100 LOGIC DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95124
John Edward Caldwell director ONE AMD PLACE, MS 68, SUNNYVALE CA 94088