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Amgen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $206.83 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-10-25), Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $206.83. The stock price of Amgen is $208.0008. Therefore, Amgen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:AMGN' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.61   Med: 1.91   Max: 42.08
Current: 1.01

0.61
42.08

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Amgen was 42.08. The lowest was 0.61. And the median was 1.91.

NAS:AMGN's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
83% of the 92 Companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.

( Industry Median: -0.12 vs. NAS:AMGN: 1.01 )

Amgen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Amgen Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 172.73 179.76 198.72 215.58 224.19

Amgen Quarterly Data
Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 220.31 228.82 224.19 216.17 206.83

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Amgen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Amgen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Amgen's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $9,690.40.

Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.613375984848*9690.4+8247*0.8)/576.000
=206.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amgen  (NAS:AMGN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Amgen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=208.0008/206.83308792287
=1.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Amgen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Amgen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Amgen Business Description

Amgen logo
Industry
Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Address
One Amgen Center Drive, Thousand Oaks, CA, USA, 91320-1799
Amgen is a leader in biotechnology-based human therapeutics, with historical expertise in renal disease and cancer supportive-care products. Flagship drugs include red blood cell boosters Epogen and Aranesp, immune system boosters Neupogen and Neulasta, and Enbrel and Otezla for inflammatory diseases. Amgen introduced its first cancer therapeutic, Vectibix, in 2006 and markets bone-strengthening drug Prolia/Xgeva (approved 2010) and Evenity (2019). The acquisition of Onyx bolstered the firm's therapeutic oncology portfolio with Nexavar and Kyprolis. Recent launches include Repatha (cholesterol-lowering), Aimovig (migraine), and Lumakras (lung cancer). Amgen's biosimilar portfolio includes Mvasi (biosimilar Avastin), Kanjinti (biosimilar Herceptin), and Amgevita (biosimilar Humira).
Executives
Sugar Ronald D director 10877 WILSHIRE BLVD. SUITE 1650 LOS ANGELES CA 900274
Williams R Sanders director DUKE UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE TRENT DRIVE DURHAM NC 27706
Santos Esteban officer: EVP, Operations ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Miles Amy E director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: MILES AMY E a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Kullman Ellen Jamison director UNITED TECHNOLOGIES CORP 10 FARM SPRINGS ROAD FARMINGTON CT 06032
Grygiel Nancy A. officer: SVP & CCO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Louie Linda H. officer: VP, Finance & CAO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Holley Charles M director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: HOLLEY CHARLES M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Griffith Peter H. officer: EVP & CFO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Reese David M officer: EVP, Research and Development ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320
Druker Brian director ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Austin Wanda M director 6001 BOLLINGER CANYON ROAD SAN RAMON CA 94583
Gordon Murdo officer: EVP Global Commercial Ops C/O BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY 345 PARK AVE NEW YORK NY 10154
Piacquad David officer: SVP, Business Development ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799
Patton Cynthia M officer: SVP & CCO ONE AMGEN CENTER DRIVE THOUSAND OAKS CA 91320-1799

Amgen Headlines

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