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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (Cracker Barrel Old Country Store) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $66.46 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $66.46. The stock price of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is $58.70. Therefore, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CBRL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.85   Med: 1.71   Max: 2.06
Current: 0.88

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store was 2.06. The lowest was 0.85. And the median was 1.71.

CBRL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
68.81% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.38 vs CBRL: 0.88

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 96.75 [6] => 73.61 [7] => 83.52 [8] => 77.70 [9] => 73.20 )
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 96.75 73.61 83.52 77.70 73.20

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 76.19 70.52 73.20 63.53 66.46

Competitive Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $116.83.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*116.82976+461.967*0.8)/22.296
=66.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cracker Barrel Old Country Store  (NAS:CBRL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=58.70/66.461876214217
=0.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (Cracker Barrel Old Country Store) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
305 Hartmann Drive, Lebanon, TN, USA, 37087-4779
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Inc operates hundreds of full-service restaurants throughout the United States. Its restaurants are open for breakfast, lunch, and dinner, with menus that offer home-style country food. Cracker Barrel's biggest input costs are beef, dairy, fruits and vegetables, pork, and poultry. The company purchases its food products from a few different vendors on a cost-plus basis. All restaurants are located in freestanding buildings and include gift shops, which contribute roughly one fourth of total company revenue. Apparel and accessories are the company's biggest revenue generators in the retail segment of the business.
Executives
Sandra B Cochran officer: Executive VP & CFO 305 HARTMANN DRIVE, LEBANON TN 37087
Julie D. Masino officer: CEO-elect C/O VIVID SEATS INC., 111 N. CANAL STREET, SUITE 800, CHICAGO IL 60606
Jim Mark Spurgin officer: SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer 305 S. HARTMANN DRIVE, LEBANON TN 37087
William W. Moreton director 3630 SOUTH GEYER ROAD, SUITE 100, ST LOUIS MO 63127
Jody L Bilney director 2202 NORTH WEST SHORE BLVD., SUITE 500, TAMPA FL 33607
Cammie Schaefer officer: SVP Operations 305 HARTMANN DR, LEBANON TN 37087
Craig Pommells officer: SVP & CFO 305 HARTMANN DR, LEBANON TN 37087
Donna Roberts officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 305 HARTMANN DR, LEBANON TN 37087
Darryl L Wade director 1208 SHARON PLACE, WINTER PARK FL 32789
Bruce Hoffmeister officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 8546 ROBERTS ROAD, ELLICOTT CITY MD 21043
Gisel Ruiz director C/O VITAL FARMS, INC., 3601 SOUTH CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE C100, AUSTIN TX 78704
Jennifer Tate officer: SVP & CMO 305 HARTMANN DRIVE, LEBANON TN 37087
Gilbert Raymond Davila director 15838 SEVILLE LANE, ENCINO CA 91436
Carl T Berquist director C/O MARRIOTT INTERNATONAL INC, 10400 FERNWOOD ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20817
Kara Jacobs officer: VP, Controller & PAO 305 HARTMANN DR, LEBANON TN 37087

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