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Cognex (Cognex) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: USD18.75 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Cognex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is USD18.75. The stock price of Cognex is USD38.46. Therefore, Cognex's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cognex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CGNX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.51   Med: 2.47   Max: 3.97
Current: 2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cognex was 3.97. The lowest was 1.51. And the median was 2.47.

CGNX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.34% of 1616 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.36 vs CGNX: 2.05

Cognex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cognex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 20.46 [6] => 21.35 [7] => 24.03 [8] => 22.32 [9] => 18.75 )
Cognex Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.46 21.35 24.03 22.32 18.75

Cognex Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.32 19.84 19.18 18.90 18.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Cognex's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cognex Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Cognex's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cognex's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cognex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cognex's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = USD213.56.

Cognex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*213.56304+1504.752*0.8)/172.619
=18.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cognex  (NAS:CGNX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cognex's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=38.46/18.752262663456
=2.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cognex Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cognex's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cognex (Cognex) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Cognex Corp (NAS:CGNX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Vision Drive, Natick, MA, USA, 01760-2059
Cognex Corp provides machine vision products that help automate manufacturing processes. The firm's products include vision software, vision systems, vision sensors, and ID products. Vision software combines vision tools with a customer's own cameras and peripheral equipment and can help with several vision tasks, including part location, identification, measurement, and robotic guidance. Vision systems combine a camera, processor, and vision software into a single package. Vision sensors deliver simple, low-cost solutions for common vision applications, such as checking the size of parts. ID products read codes that have been applied to items during the manufacturing process. Cognex generates the largest proportion of its sales in the United States and Europe.
Executives
Angelos Papadimitriou director 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Patrick Alias director
Theodor Krantz director ONE VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Joerg Kuechen officer: Chief Technology Officer 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Paul Todgham officer: SVP, CFO 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Anthony Sun director 2494 SAND HILL RD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Dianne M Parrotte director 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
John Tseng-chung Lee director 90 INDUSTRIAL WAY, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Carl Gerst officer: EVP, Vision & ID Products 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Marjorie T. Sennett director 950 TOWER LANE, 6TH FLOOR, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Jerry A. Schneider director ONE VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Sachin Lawande director HARMAN INTERNATIONAL, 400 ATLANTIC STREET, SUITE 1500, STAMFORD CT 06901
Eugene G Banucci director
Sheila Marie Dipalma officer: SVP, Employee Services 1 VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760
Robert Willett officer: Executive Vice President C/O COGNEX CORPORATION, ONE VISION DRIVE, NATICK MA 01760-2059

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