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CareTrust REIT (CareTrust REIT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $19.51 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is CareTrust REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.51. The stock price of CareTrust REIT is $23.95. Therefore, CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CTRE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.29   Max: 1.39
Current: 1.23

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of CareTrust REIT was 1.39. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.29.

CTRE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.97% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs CTRE: 1.23

CareTrust REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CareTrust REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

CareTrust REIT Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.86 16.65 18.29 18.81 19.51

CareTrust REIT Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.81 18.67 18.55 20.16 19.51

Competitive Comparison of CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



CareTrust REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get CareTrust REIT's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $130.68.

CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*130.67664+1416.819*0.8)/121.854
=19.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CareTrust REIT  (NYSE:CTRE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

CareTrust REIT's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=23.95/19.511405109223
=1.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CareTrust REIT Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CareTrust REIT's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CareTrust REIT (CareTrust REIT) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
905 Calle Amanecer, Suite 300, San Clemente, CA, USA, 92673
CareTrust REIT Inc is a self-administered, publicly-traded REIT engaged in the ownership, acquisition, financing, development and leasing of skilled nursing, seniors housing and other healthcare-related properties. The Company has one reportable segment consisting of investments in healthcare-related real estate assets. It generates revenues by leasing healthcare-related properties to healthcare operators in triple-net lease arrangements. The Company generate revenues by leasing healthcare-related properties to healthcare operators in triple-net lease arrangements, under which the tenant is solely responsible for the costs related to the property (including property taxes, insurance, maintenance and repair costs and capital expenditures).
Executives
James Callister officer: Executive Vice President 905 CALLE AMANECER, SUITE 300, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Anne Olson director 800 LASALLE AVENUE, SUITE 1600, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Careina D. Williams director 905 CALLE AMANECER, SUITE 300, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Spencer G Plumb director 17140 BERNARDO CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 300, SAN DIEGO CA 92128
Diana Laing director THE MACERICH COMPANY, 401 WILSHIRE BVLD., STE. 700, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Mark D Lamb officer: Chief Investment Officer 905 CALLE AMANECER, SUITE 300, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
Gary B Sabin director 16955 VIA DEL CAMPO SUITE 110, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Jon D Kline director 903 CALLE AMANECER, SUITE 100, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
William M Wagner officer: See Remarks 903 CALLE AMANECER, SUITE 100, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
David M. Sedgwick officer: Vice President of Operations 27101 PUERTA REAL, SUITE 450, MISSION VIEJO CA 92691
Gregory K. Stapley director, officer: President and CEO 27101 PUERTA REAL, SUITE 450, MISSION VIEJO CA 92691
Allen Barbieri director
David G. Lindahl director 27101 PUERTA REAL, SUITE 400, MISSION VIEJO CA 92691
Christopher R. Christensen director 27101 PUERTA REAL, SUITE 450, MISSION VIEJO CA 92691
Ensign Group, Inc 10 percent owner 29222 RANCHO VIEJO RD., SUITE 127, SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO CA 92675