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Dorman Products (Dorman Products) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $69.75 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Dorman Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $69.75. The stock price of Dorman Products is $89.23. Therefore, Dorman Products's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dorman Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

DORM' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.2   Med: 1.83   Max: 2.28
Current: 1.28

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Dorman Products was 2.28. The lowest was 1.20. And the median was 1.83.

DORM's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
56.32% of 886 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.055 vs DORM: 1.28

Dorman Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dorman Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dorman Products Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.21 48.05 54.88 59.13 69.75

Dorman Products Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.13 56.68 61.16 65.87 69.75

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Dorman Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dorman Products Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dorman Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dorman Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Dorman Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Dorman Products's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $85.00.

Dorman Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*84.99616+1168.203*0.8)/31.512
=69.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dorman Products  (NAS:DORM) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Dorman Products's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=89.23/69.745838372739
=1.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dorman Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dorman Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dorman Products (Dorman Products) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3400 East Walnut Street, Colmar, PA, USA, 18915
Dorman Products Inc is a supplier of original equipment parts for automobiles. The company produces automotive and heavy-duty replacement parts, automotive hardware, brake parts, and fasteners for the automotive and heavy-duty aftermarket. The products are sold under the Dorman brand and its sub-brands OE Solutions, Help!, Conduct-Tite, and HD Solutions through aftermarket retailers, regional and local warehouse distributors, specialty markets, and salvage yards. It operates as a single reportable operating segment, namely, the sale of replacement and upgrades parts in the motor vehicle aftermarket industry, serving passenger cars, light-, medium-, and heavy-duty trucks as well as specialty vehicles. The company operates primarily in the United States.
Executives
G. Michael Stakias director C/O DORMAN PRODUCTS, INC., 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Lindsay Hunt officer: Pres and CEO, Specialty Vehicl 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Brian Borradaile officer: SVP, Strategy & Corp Dev 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Eric Luftig officer: Senior Vice President, Product 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Jeffery Darby officer: SVP, Sales C/O DORMAN PRODUCTS, INC., 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Steven L Berman director, 10 percent owner, officer: President, COO
James Darrell Thomas director 3700 JUNEAU AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
John J Gavin director GMS INC., 100 CRESCENT CENTRE PARKWAY, SUITE 800, TUCKER GA 30084
Donna M. Long officer: SVP, CIO 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
John Mcknight officer: SVP, Operations 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 19103
Paul E Anderson officer: President, Heavy Duty 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Scott Leff officer: SVP, CHRO 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Michael Kealey officer: SVP, Product C/O DORMAN PRODUCTS, INC., 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915
Lisa M Bachmann director 300 PHILLIPI ROAD, COLUMBUS OH 43228
Joseph P. Braun officer: SVP and General Counsel C/O DORMAN PRODUCTS, INC., 3400 EAST WALNUT STREET, COLMAR PA 18915