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Guaranty Federal Bancshares (Guaranty Federal Bancshares) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $43.63 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Guaranty Federal Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.63. The stock price of Guaranty Federal Bancshares is $31.43. Therefore, Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GFED' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.66   Max: 0.86
Current: 0.72

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Guaranty Federal Bancshares was 0.86. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.66.

GFED's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.44 vs GFED: 0.72

Guaranty Federal Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guaranty Federal Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Guaranty Federal Bancshares Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 32.01 33.41 36.52 37.05 43.63

Guaranty Federal Bancshares Quarterly Data
Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 37.05 39.66 41.63 43.95 43.63

Competitive Comparison of Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Guaranty Federal Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $8.41.

Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.689378362526*8.40816+97.464*0.8)/4.425
=43.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guaranty Federal Bancshares  (NAS:GFED) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Guaranty Federal Bancshares's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=31.43/43.632470863877
=0.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Guaranty Federal Bancshares Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Guaranty Federal Bancshares (Guaranty Federal Bancshares) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2144 E Republic Road, Suite F200, Springfield, MO, USA, 65804
Guaranty Federal Bancshares Inc is a bank holding company for Guaranty Federal Savings Bank. The principal business of the company is overseeing the business of the Bank. The bank attracts retail deposits from the general public and investing those deposits together with funds generated from operations, in commercial real estate loans, multi-family residential mortgage loans, construction loans, business, consumer and other loans. It also invests in mortgage-backed, federal agency and U.S. government securities and other marketable securities. The firm derives its revenue from interest on its loan, other investments, and fees charged for services provided and gains generated from the sale of loans and investment securities.
Executives
Daniel Winton Williams officer: VP-Financial Manager 5714 NOTTINGHAM PL BARTLESVILLE OK 74006
Carter M Peters officer: EVP-CFO 1341 W BATTLEFIELD SPRINGFIELD MO 65807
Craig E Dunn officer: EVP-Chief Comm Banking Officer 9693 WEST FARM ROAD 156 REPUBLIC MO 65738
John F Griesemer director 4024 E WINDSONG, SPRINGFIELD MO 65809
James R Batten director 233 SOUTH PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Greg Alan Horton director 782 N SQUIRES LN SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Robin E Robeson officer: EVP/COO 1341 W BATTLEFIELD SPRINGFIELD MO 65807
Teri Harris officer: VP-CONTROLLER 1341 W BATTLEFIELD SPRINGFIELD MO 65807
Sheri D Biser officer: EVP/CCO 931 W SHERWOOD DR SPRINGFIELD MO 65810
Shaun A Burke director
Sivils James L Iii director
Tim Rosenbury director
Kurt D Hellweg director
David T Moore director 1615 E CATALPA SPRINGFIELD MO 65804
Tony Scavuzzo director, 10 percent owner 102 E. FRONT ST., MONROE MI 48161