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Heartland Express (Heartland Express) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $4.81 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Heartland Express's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.81. The stock price of Heartland Express is $10.48. Therefore, Heartland Express's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heartland Express's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HTLD' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 3.9   Max: 5.29
Current: 2.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Heartland Express was 5.29. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 3.90.

HTLD's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
80.83% of 699 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs HTLD: 2.18

Heartland Express Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heartland Express's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heartland Express Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.64 4.56 4.71 6.15 4.81

Heartland Express Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.15 6.15 4.63 3.72 4.81

Competitive Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Heartland Express's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heartland Express Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Heartland Express's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heartland Express's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Heartland Express Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Heartland Express's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-20.95.

Heartland Express's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-20.95072+865.26*0.8)/79.109
=4.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heartland Express  (NAS:HTLD) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Heartland Express's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.48/4.8139239787527
=2.18

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heartland Express Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Heartland Express's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Heartland Express (Heartland Express) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
901 Heartland Way, North Liberty, IA, USA, 52317
Heartland Express Inc is engaged in providing truckload services across the United States and Canada. These truckload services are primarily asset-based transportation services in the dry van truckload market, and it also offers truckload temperature-controlled transportation services. The company's major customers represent primarily the consumer goods, appliances, food products, and automotive industries.
Executives
Michael J Gerdin director, officer: PRESIDENT 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Ann S. Gerdin Revocable Trust 10 percent owner, other: Co-Trustee of 10% Owner 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Michael John Sullivan director 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Brenda M Lantz director 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Todd A Smith officer: President of Smith Transport 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Christopher Alan Strain officer: Vice President/CFO/Treasurer 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Brenda S Neville director 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
David Paul Millis director 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Jo Anne Borden officer: VP of HR and Risk Management 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
James G Pratt director 11 THE WOODS NE, IOWA CITY IA 52240
Angela K Janssen other: Co-Trustee of 10% Owner 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Julie J Durr other: Co-Trustee of 10% Owner 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Larry J. Gordon director 901 HEARTLAND WAY, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Kent Daryl Rigdon officer: Vice President of Sales 901 NORTH KANSAS AVENUE, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317
Tahira K Hira director 901 N KANSAS AVE, NORTH LIBERTY IA 52317