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Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $33.73 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2021-12-01), Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $33.73. The stock price of Horizon Therapeutics is $106.835. Therefore, Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NAS:HZNP' s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.98   Med: 2   Max: 27.05
Current: 3.17

0.98
27.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Horizon Therapeutics was 27.05. The lowest was 0.98. And the median was 2.00.

NAS:HZNP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF is ranked lower than
70% of the 590 Companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.

( Industry Median: 1.85 vs. NAS:HZNP: 3.17 )

Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Horizon Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.86 14.97 19.27 18.13 29.31

Horizon Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.63 29.31 28.42 29.19 33.73

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Horizon Therapeutics's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $349.57.

Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep21)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.608723088515*349.56528+4450.214*0.8)/236.199
=33.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Therapeutics  (NAS:HZNP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Horizon Therapeutics's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=106.835/33.73317845071
=3.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Horizon Therapeutics Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Horizon Therapeutics's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Horizon Therapeutics Business Description

Horizon Therapeutics logo
Industry
Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers NAICS : 325412 SIC : 2834
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Burlington Road, Connaught House, 1st Floor, Dublin, IRL, D04 C5Y6
Horizon Therapeutics PLC is a specialty and generic drug manufacturing company. The company is focused on researching, developing and commercializing medicines that address critical needs for people impacted by rare and rheumatic diseases. The company has two reportable segments: orphan and rheumatology segment and the inflammation segment. It markets medicines in the areas of orphan diseases, rheumatology and inflammation division. The majority of revenue is generated in the United States.
Executives
Sherman Jeffrey W officer: EVP and Chief Medical Officer C/O IDM PHARMA, INC. 9 PARKER, SUITE 100 IRVINE CA 92618
Camardo Daniel A. officer: EVP and President, U.S. C/O HORIZON THERAPEUTICS, PLC CONNAUGHT HOUSE, 1ST FL, 1 BURLINGTON RD DUBLIN L2 D04 C5Y6
Konstantinovsky Irina officer: EVP, Chief Human Resources Off C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC CONNAUGHT HOUSE, 1ST FL, 1 BURLINGTON RD DUBLIN L2 4
Beeler Brian K officer: EVP, General Counsel C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 520 DEERFIELD IL 60015
Hoelscher Paul W. officer: EVP, CFO 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 520 C/O HORIZON PHARMA, INC. DEERFIELD IL 60062
Walbert Timothy P director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 1033 SKOKIE BOULEVARD SUITE 355 NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Grey Michael G director C/O SGX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 10505 ROSELLE STREET SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Santini Gino director C/O AMAG PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. 1100 WINTER STREET WALTHAM MA 02451
Karnani Vikram officer: EVP & President, International C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC, CONNAUGHT HOUSE 1ST FLOOR, 1 BURLINGTON RD DUBLIN L2 4
Witz Pascale director C/O REGULUS THERAPEUTICS INC. 10614 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Shannon James Samuel director 28903 NORTH AVENUE PAINE VALENCIA CA 91355
Kent Jeff officer: See remarks C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC CONNAUGHT HOUSE, 1ST FL, 1 BURLINGTON RD DUBLIN L2 4
Moze Barry officer: EVP, Chief Admin. Officer C/O HORIZON PHARMA, INC. 520 EAST COOK ROAD, SUITE 520 DEERFIELD IL 60015
Mchugh Miles W officer: Sr VP & Princ. Acctg Officer C/O ACCRETIVE HEALTH, INC. 401 N. MICHIGAN AVE, SUITE 2700 CHICAGO IL 60611
Curtis Geoffrey M. officer: EVP, Corporate Affairs, CCO C/O HORIZON PHARMA PLC CONNAUGHT HOUSE, 1ST FL, 1 BURLINGTON RD DUBLIN L2 L2 4

Horizon Therapeutics Headlines

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