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Lancaster Colony (Lancaster Colony) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $66.15 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $66.15. The stock price of Lancaster Colony is $186.66. Therefore, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LANC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.58   Med: 2.37   Max: 3.35
Current: 2.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lancaster Colony was 3.35. The lowest was 1.58. And the median was 2.37.

LANC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.44% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs LANC: 2.82

Lancaster Colony Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lancaster Colony Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.62 63.28 63.95 56.79 60.01

Lancaster Colony Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.91 61.08 60.01 60.32 66.15

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lancaster Colony Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lancaster Colony Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lancaster Colony's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $97.66.

Lancaster Colony's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.145567245439*97.66176+908.326*0.8)/27.440
=66.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lancaster Colony  (NAS:LANC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lancaster Colony's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=186.66/66.150018709474
=2.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lancaster Colony Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Lancaster Colony (Lancaster Colony) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
380 Polaris Parkway, Suite 400, Westerville, OH, USA, 43082
Lancaster Colony Corp is a manufacturer and marketer of speciality food products. The company's segments include Retail and Foodservice. By product segment, the company divides its portfolio into non frozen (roughly 70% of net sales) and frozen food. The key products and brands are salad dressing and sauces (Cardini's, Girard's, Marzetti), frozen garlic breads (New York Brand Bakery, Mamma Bella), vegetable dips and fruit dips (Marzetti), frozen parkerhouse-style yeast rolls and dinner rolls (Sister Schubert's, Mary B's), premium dry egg noodles (Amish Kitchen), frozen speciality noodles (Reames, Aunt Vi's), croutons and salad toppings, flatbread wraps, and pizza crusts.
Executives
Knight George F. Iii director 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Zena Srivatsa Arnold director 2500 BEE CAVE ROAD, BLDG. 1, SUITE 200, ROLLINGWOOD TX 78746
Luis Viso officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Kristin Bird officer: President-Foodservice Division 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Carl R. Stealey officer: President-T Marzetti Retail 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
David Alan Ciesinski officer: President & COO H. J. HEINZ COMPANY, P.O. BOX 57, PITTSBURGH PA 15230
David S. Nagle officer: SVP-T Marzetti Co Supply Chain 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
K. Pigott Thomas officer: CFO and Asst. Secretary C/O MGP INGREDIENTS, INC., 100 COMMERCIAL STREET, ATCHISON KS 66002
Alan F Harris director
Elliot K. Fullen director 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, SUITE 400, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Gerlach John B Jr director, officer: Chairman & CEO LANCASTER COLONY CORP, 37 W. BROAD ST., COLUMBUS OH 43215
Barbara L Brasier director C/O MEADWESTVACO CORP, ONE HIGH RIDGE PARK, STAMFORD CT 06905
Michael H Keown director P O BOX 77057, FORT WORTH TX 76177
Timothy A. Tate officer: SVP-TMarzettiFoodservice Sales 380 POLARIS PARKWAY, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Neeli Bendapudi director FISHER COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, 556 FISHER H, 2100 NEIL AVENUE, COLUMBUS OH 43210