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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-19), Natural Health Trends's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $4.90. The stock price of Natural Health Trends is $6.62. Therefore, Natural Health Trends's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.
The historical rank and industry rank for Natural Health Trends's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Natural Health Trends was 1.36. The lowest was 0.15. And the median was 0.35.
The historical data trend for Natural Health Trends's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
For the Internet Retail subindustry, Natural Health Trends's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Natural Health Trends's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Natural Health Trends's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Natural Health Trends's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $2.41.
Natural Health Trends's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (9.5203515959648 | * | 2.40672 | + | 41.6 | * | 0.8) | / | 11.477 | |
= | 4.90 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Natural Health Trends (NAS:NHTC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Natural Health Trends's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 6.62 | / | 4.8961244744306 | |
= | 1.35 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Natural Health Trends's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Brunde E Broady | director | UNITS 1205-07, 12/F, MIRA PLACE TOWER A, 132 NATHAN ROAD, TSIMSHATSUI, KOWLOON K3 0000000000 |
Ching Chung Wong | director | UNITS 1205-07, 12/F, MIRA PLACE TOWER A, 132 NATHAN ROAD, TSIMSHATSUI, KOWLOON K3 0000000000 |
George K Broady | director, 10 percent owner | 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, C/O KINGS III OF AMERICA, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Chris Tahjiun Sharng | director, officer: President | C/O OF NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP., 609 DEEP VALLEY DRIVE, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274 |
Timothy Scott Davidson | officer: Sr. V.P. & CFO | 609 DEEP VALLEY DRIVE, SUITE 395, ROLLING HILLS ESTATES CA 90274 |
Yiu Tung Chan | director | FLAT B, 13/F, GREENPARK VILLA, KAT CHEUNG CRESCENT, SHEUNG SHUI, NEW TERRITORIES K3 999077 |
Randall A Mason | director | PO BOX 4016, MARIETTA OH 45750 |
Christopher Robert O'brien | director | 448 32ND ST, MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266 |
Jane Eleanor Broady 2012 Irrevocable Trust | 10 percent owner | 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Kin Yep Chung | director | FLAT E, 14/F, CHARMING GARDEN BLOCK 8, MONG KOK K3 999077 |
John Marvin Broady | 10 percent owner | 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Magdalena Steinbrunner | 10 percent owner | 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019 |
George Vincent Broady | 10 percent owner | 751 CANYON DRIVE, SUITE 100, COPPELL TX 75019 |
Stefan Zuckut | director | C/O NATURAL HEALTH TRENDS CORP., 2050 DIPLOMAT DRIVE, DALLAS TX 75234 |
Chief China Resources Ltd | 10 percent owner | 18 CHAOYANGMENWAI STREET, SUITE B710, FULL LINK PLAZA, BEIJING F4 100020 |
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