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Northwest Pipe Co (Northwest Pipe Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $43.67 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Northwest Pipe Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.67. The stock price of Northwest Pipe Co is $31.85. Therefore, Northwest Pipe Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Northwest Pipe Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NWPX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.41   Med: 0.87   Max: 1.17
Current: 0.73

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Northwest Pipe Co was 1.17. The lowest was 0.41. And the median was 0.87.

NWPX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.71% of 1893 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs NWPX: 0.73

Northwest Pipe Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northwest Pipe Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Array ( [0] => - [1] => - [2] => - [3] => - [4] => - [5] => 29.87 [6] => 35.85 [7] => 29.18 [8] => 28.78 [9] => 43.67 )
Northwest Pipe Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.87 35.85 29.18 28.78 43.67

Northwest Pipe Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.78 35.06 35.25 39.25 43.67

Competitive Comparison

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Northwest Pipe Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northwest Pipe Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Northwest Pipe Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northwest Pipe Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Northwest Pipe Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Northwest Pipe Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $11.24.

Northwest Pipe Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*11.2368+340.36*0.8)/10.060
=43.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Northwest Pipe Co  (NAS:NWPX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Northwest Pipe Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=31.85/43.667660310055
=0.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Northwest Pipe Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Northwest Pipe Co (Northwest Pipe Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
201 North East Park Plaza Drive, Suite 100, Vancouver, WA, USA, 98684
Northwest Pipe Co is a manufacturer of water-related infrastructure products. The company has two operating segments; Engineered Steel Pressure Pipe segment manufactures large-diameter, high-pressure steel pipeline systems for use in water infrastructure applications, which are related to drinking water systems. These products are also used for hydroelectric power systems, wastewater systems, seismic resiliency, and other applications, and Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems segment manufacture stormwater and wastewater technology products, high-quality precast and reinforced concrete products, including manholes, box culverts, vaults, and catch basins, pump lift stations, oil water separators, biofiltration, and other environmental and engineered solutions.
Executives
Irma Lockridge director C/O TRINITY CAPITAL INC., 1 N. 1ST STREET, 3RD FLOOR, PHOENIX AZ 85004
Michael C Franson director 1401 17TH STREET 750, DENVER CO 80202
Richard A Roman director 1984 SW 16TH AVE, PORTLAND OR 97201
Scott J Montross officer: President & CEO
Michael Wray officer: Sr VP/GM of Precast 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Keith R Larson director 11 HILLSHIRE DRIVE, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97034
Amanda Kulesa director 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Michelle Galanter Applebaum director 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
Megan A. Kendrick officer: VP of Human Resources 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
William S. Yearsley director 833 WEST SOUTH BOULDER ROAD, LOUISVILLE CO 80027
Eric Stokes officer: Sr. VP of Sales & Marketing 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
John Paschal director 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Miles Brittain other: VP of Operations 201 NE PARK PLAZA DRIVE, SUITE 100, VANCOUVER WA 98684
Aaron Wilkins officer: VP of Finance &Corp Controller 5721 SE COLUMBIA WAY SUITE 200, VANCOUVER WA 98661
James E Declusin director OREGON STEEL MILLS INC, 1000 SW BROADWAY STE 2200, PORTLAND OR 97205