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Optical Cable (Optical Cable) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1.76 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Optical Cable Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Optical Cable's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.76. The stock price of Optical Cable is $3.00. Therefore, Optical Cable's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Optical Cable's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

OCC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.59   Med: 1.25   Max: 3.52
Current: 1.7

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Optical Cable was 3.52. The lowest was 0.59. And the median was 1.25.

OCC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
54.57% of 1629 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 1.39 vs OCC: 1.70

Optical Cable Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Optical Cable's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Optical Cable Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Optical Cable Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.14 1.36 2.45 1.91 1.96

Optical Cable Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.55 1.65 1.87 1.96 1.76

Competitive Comparison of Optical Cable's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Optical Cable's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Optical Cable's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Optical Cable's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Optical Cable's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Optical Cable Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Optical Cable's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-0.53.

Optical Cable's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.5296+23.348*0.8)/7.751
=1.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Optical Cable  (NAS:OCC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Optical Cable's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.00/1.7593112881921
=1.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Optical Cable Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Optical Cable (Optical Cable) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5290 Concourse Drive, Roanoke, VA, USA, 24019
Optical Cable Corp manufactures tight-buffered fiber optic & copper data communication cables, data communication connectivity solutions for enterprise markets, and customized solutions for specialty use & harsh environments. Its products and services include designs and customized products for specialty applications and harsh environments, cabling, connectors, patch cords, assemblies, racks, cabinets, datacom enclosures, patch panels, faceplates, and multi-media boxes. The company supplies its products and services to industries such as the military, industrial, mining, petrochemical, broadcast, oil & gas, and others.
Executives
Randall H Frazier director
Wilkin Neil D Jr director, officer: President and CFO
Williamson John B Iii director PO BOX 13007, ROANOKE VA 24030
Nygren John A Jr director 567 SEAFORD LANE, MATHEWS VA 23109
Craig H Weber director
William Russell Reynolds officer: SR VP OF SALES 106 DISTANT VIEW DRIVE, ASHEVILLE NC 28803
Tracy G Smith officer: Chief Financial Officer
Luke J Huybrechts director, officer: SVP Sales
Charles W Carson officer: SVP Marketing & Strategy
Ted W Leonard officer: VP Sales - USA
John M Holland director