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Plains GP Holdings LP (Plains GP Holdings LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $81.96 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Plains GP Holdings LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $81.96. The stock price of Plains GP Holdings LP is $18.67. Therefore, Plains GP Holdings LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Plains GP Holdings LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PAGP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.18   Med: 0.26   Max: 1.55
Current: 0.23

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Plains GP Holdings LP was 1.55. The lowest was 0.18. And the median was 0.26.

PAGP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.22% of 678 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs PAGP: 0.23

Plains GP Holdings LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Plains GP Holdings LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Plains GP Holdings LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.34 32.72 47.50 68.43 81.96

Plains GP Holdings LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 68.43 77.04 81.38 76.80 81.96

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Plains GP Holdings LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Plains GP Holdings LP Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Plains GP Holdings LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Plains GP Holdings LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Plains GP Holdings LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Plains GP Holdings LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,466.08.

Plains GP Holdings LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.056836766857*1466.08+1548*0.8)/195.000
=81.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Plains GP Holdings LP  (NAS:PAGP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Plains GP Holdings LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=18.67/81.961678190529
=0.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Plains GP Holdings LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Plains GP Holdings LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Plains GP Holdings LP (Plains GP Holdings LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
333 Clay Street, Suite 1600, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Plains All American provides transportation, storage, processing, fractionation, and marketing services for crude oil, refined products, natural gas liquids, liquefied petroleum gas, and related products. Plains' assets span the United States and Alberta, Canada, but are heavily concentrated in the Permian Basin.
Executives
Willie Cw Chiang director, officer: Chairman & CEO 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2775, DENVER CO 80202
Jeremy L. Goebel officer: EVP & CCO 333 CLAY STREET, SUITE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ellen Desanctis director 12326 OLD OAKS, HOUSTON TX 77024
Kevin S Mccarthy director C/O KAYNE ANDERSON CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 1800 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SECOND FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Gary R Petersen director 210 HEDWIG, HOUSTON TX 77019
Victor Burk director C/O ENERVEST MANAGEMENT PARTNERS LTD, 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Lawrence Michael Ziemba director 600 NORTH DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
John T Raymond director THE ENERGY & MINERALS GROUP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 4200, HOUSTON TX 77002
Alexandra Pruner director 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Bobby S Shackouls director 5051 WESTHEIMER, STE 1400, HOUSTON TX 77056-5604
Chris Temple director 3953 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 180, DALLAS TX 75219
Emg Investment, Llc director, See Remarks 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1025, HOUSTON TX 77010
Robert V Sinnott director 1800 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 3RD FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Greg L Armstrong director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO
Harry N Pefanis officer: President & COO 333 CLAY STREET, STE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002