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PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $64.04 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-08-13), PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $64.04. The stock price of PayPal Holdings is $101.10. Therefore, PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PYPL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.09   Med: 3.8   Max: 33.63
Current: 1.58

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PayPal Holdings was 33.63. The lowest was 1.09. And the median was 3.80.

PYPL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.12% of 279 companies
in the Credit Services industry
Industry Median: 0.72 vs PYPL: 1.58

PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PayPal Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 32.20 52.82 61.65

PayPal Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 57.08 59.62 61.65 62.45 64.04

Competitive Comparison

For the Credit Services subindustry, PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.



PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PayPal Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,925.44.

PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*3925.44+19767*0.8)/1158.000
=64.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PayPal Holdings  (NAS:PYPL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PayPal Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=101.10/64.038043014745
=1.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PayPal Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PayPal Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PayPal Holdings Business Description

PayPal Holdings logo
Address
2211 North First Street, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
PayPal was spun off from eBay in 2015 and provides electronic payment solutions to merchants and consumers, with a focus on online transactions. The company had 426 million active accounts at the end of 2021, including 34 million merchant accounts. The company also owns Xoom, an international money transfer business, and Venmo, a person-to-person payment platform.
Executives
Scheibe Gabrielle officer: SVP, Corp Finance & Investor R 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Lores Enrique director 3000 HANOVER STREET PALO ALTO CA 94304
Karbowski Jeffrey William officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 2211 N 1ST ST SAN JOSE CA 95131
Alford Peggy officer: EVP, Global Sales 435 TASSO STREET PALO ALTO CA 94301
Rainey John D officer: CFO and EVP, Global Cust Oper C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Johnson Allison officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Britto Mark officer: EVP, Global Sales and Credit C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Messemer Deborah M. director C/O ALLOGENE THERAPEUTICS, INC. 210 EAST GRAND AVENUE SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Adkins Rodney C director 55 GLENLAKE PARKWAY, NE ATLANTA GA 30328
Sarnoff Ann director C/O HSN, INC. 1 HSN DRIVE SAINT PETERSBURG FL 33729
Karczmer Aaron officer: SVP, CR & Compliance Officer PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Johnson Belinda J. director 394 PACIFIC AVENUE, FLOOR 2 SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Shivananda Sripada officer: SVP, Chief Technology Officer 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Casares Wences director C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131
Morales-jaffe Marcia officer: SVP, Human Resources C/O PAYPAL HOLDINGS, INC. 2211 NORTH FIRST STREET SAN JOSE CA 95131

PayPal Holdings Headlines

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