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SPS Commerce (SPS Commerce) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $43.53 (As of Apr. 24, 2024)


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What is SPS Commerce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $43.53. The stock price of SPS Commerce is $171.12. Therefore, SPS Commerce's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SPSC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.21   Med: 4.27   Max: 4.76
Current: 3.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of SPS Commerce was 4.76. The lowest was 2.21. And the median was 4.27.

SPSC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
80.78% of 1264 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.585 vs SPSC: 3.93

SPS Commerce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SPS Commerce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

SPS Commerce Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.74 23.00 29.93 35.74 43.53

SPS Commerce Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.74 36.84 38.62 41.07 43.53

Competitive Comparison of SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, SPS Commerce's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SPS Commerce's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, SPS Commerce's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SPS Commerce's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



SPS Commerce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get SPS Commerce's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $74.34.

SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*74.34112+667.475*0.8)/37.649
=43.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SPS Commerce  (NAS:SPSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

SPS Commerce's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=171.12/43.530672614744
=3.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


SPS Commerce Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of SPS Commerce's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


SPS Commerce (SPS Commerce) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
333 South Seventh Street, Suite 1000, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55402
SPS Commerce Inc is a provider of cloud-based supply chain management services for retailers, grocers, distributors, suppliers, and logistics firms to increase supply chain performance, optimize inventory levels and sell-through, reduce operational costs, improve order visibility, and satisfy consumer demands for a seamless omnichannel experience. Its solutions are delivered through the SPS Commerce platform and provide integrations and retail performance analytics to its customers. Its products are; Fulfillment, Analytics, and Other products like Assortment and Community also it provides one-time services such as professional services and testing and certification. The group derives revenue from recurring monthly fees and set-up fees.
Executives
Marty M Reaume director TWILIO INC, 375 BEALE STREET SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Archie C. Black director, officer: President & CEO 333 SOUTH SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Philip Soran director 12982 VALLEY VIEW RD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Kimberly K. Nelson officer: EVP & CFO 2800 MOUNT RIDGE ROAD, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Sven Wehrwein director
Chadwick Collins director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 333 SOUTH SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
James J. Frome officer: EVP & Chief Strategy Officer 333 SOUTH SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
James Burr Ramsey director C/O NETSUITE INC, 2955 CAMPUS DRIVE SUITE 100, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Anne Sempowski Ward director C/O VANDA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 300E, WASHINGTON DC 20037
Martin J Leestma director 333 SOUTH SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Michael A Smerklo director C/O SERVICESOURCE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 634 SECOND STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Michael J Mcconnell director P.O. BOX 6280, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92658
Melvin L Keating director 18 DRIFTWOOD DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039
Tami Reller director C/O MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ONE MICROSOFT WAY, REDMOND WA 98052-6399
Spencer George H. Iii director, 10 percent owner C/O SEYEN CAPITAL, 150 NORTH WACKER DR., SUITE 660, CHICAGO IL 60606

SPS Commerce (SPS Commerce) Headlines

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