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1st Source (1st Source) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $100.00 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is 1st Source Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), 1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $100.00. The stock price of 1st Source is $50.58. Therefore, 1st Source's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for 1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SRCE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51   Med: 0.73   Max: 1.06
Current: 0.51

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of 1st Source was 1.06. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 0.73.

SRCE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
59.7% of 1216 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs SRCE: 0.51

1st Source Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for 1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

1st Source Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

1st Source Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.34 73.32 84.53 89.73 100.00

1st Source Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 89.73 91.87 93.02 96.29 100.00

Competitive Comparison of 1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, 1st Source's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


1st Source's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, 1st Source's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 1st Source's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



1st Source Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get 1st Source's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $159.74.

1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.336311950585*159.7448+989.568*0.8)/24.428
=100.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


1st Source  (NAS:SRCE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

1st Source's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=50.58/100.00108421827
=0.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


1st Source Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of 1st Source's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


1st Source (1st Source) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
100 North Michigan Street, South Bend, IN, USA, 46601
1st Source Corp along with its subsidiary offers banking services. The bank provides Commercial, Agricultural, and Real Estate Loans which are given to privately owned business clients mainly located within regional market area, Consumer Services that consists of full range of consumer banking products and services, Trust and Wealth Advisory Services which includes wide range of trust, investment, agency, and custodial services for individual, corporate, and not-for-profit clients, and Specialty Finance Group Services that provide a broad range of comprehensive equipment loan and lease products addressing the financing needs of a broad array of companies.
Executives
Daniel B Fitzpatrick director 4220 EDISON LAKES PKWY, C/O QUALITY DINING INC, MISHAWAKA IN 46545
Mark D Schwabero director BRUNSWICK CORPORATION, 1 N FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Isaac P. Torres director P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Brett A. Bauer officer: Treasurer and CFO P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Andrea G Short officer: Treasurer and CFO PO BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Weybright Ronda Shrewsbury director P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Tracy D Graham director PO BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
John T Phair director P.O. BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Melody Birmingham-byrd director PO BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Todd F. Schurz director P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Murphy Christopher J Iii director, officer: Chairman, CEO P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
Carmen C Murphy 10 percent owner 1237 EAST JEFFERSON BOULEVARD, SOUTH BEND IN 46617
John B Griffith officer: Sr. VP/Secy. 1st Source Bank P O BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634
John Afleck-graves director 3820 EDISON LAKES PARKWAY, MISHAWAKA IN 46545
Jeffrey L Buhr officer: Senior Vice President PO BOX 1602, SOUTH BEND IN 46634