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Xcel Energy (Xcel Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.68 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Xcel Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.68. The stock price of Xcel Energy is $55.33. Therefore, Xcel Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 20.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XEL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.58   Med: 6.05   Max: 39.13
Current: 20.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Xcel Energy was 39.13. The lowest was 3.58. And the median was 6.05.

XEL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
97.03% of 370 companies
in the Utilities - Regulated industry
Industry Median: 1.04 vs XEL: 20.64

Xcel Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xcel Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Xcel Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.70 6.27 1.73 2.53 2.68

Xcel Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.53 4.19 3.78 5.38 2.68

Competitive Comparison of Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Xcel Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xcel Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Xcel Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xcel Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Xcel Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Xcel Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-1,253.60.

Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.056836766857*-1253.6+17616*0.8)/555.000
=2.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xcel Energy  (NAS:XEL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Xcel Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=55.33/2.6766656379614
=20.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Xcel Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Xcel Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Xcel Energy (Xcel Energy) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
414 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55401
Xcel Energy manages utilities serving 3.8 million electric customers and 2.1 million natural gas customers in eight states. Its utilities are Northern States Power, which serves customers in Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Michigan; Public Service Company of Colorado; and Southwestern Public Service Company, which serves customers in Texas and New Mexico. It is one of the largest renewable energy owners and suppliers in the U.S. with more than half of its electricity sales coming from carbon-free energy.
Executives
Robert Frenzel director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 414 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Amanda J Rome officer: EVP, Group President Utilities 414 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Timothy A Welsh director 800 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Netha N. Johnson director 3489 CRESTMOOR DRIVE, WOODBURY MN 55125
Patricia L Kampling director PO BOX 2568, MADISON WI 53701
Megan D Burkhart director 1717 MAIN STREET, DALLAS TX 75201
George J Kehl director 414 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
James T Prokopanko director 25990 BIRCH BLUFF ROAD, EXCELSIOR MN 55331
Lynn Casey director 414 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401
Kim Williams director C/O WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY, 220 OCCIDENTAL AVENUE SOUTH, SEATTLE WA 98104
Richard T Obrien director 6363 SOUTH FIDDLERS GREEN CIRCLE, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Charles G Pardee director 10 SOUTH DEARBORN STREET, 54TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60603
Daniel Yohannes director 414 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55014
Christopher J. Policinski director 4001 LEXINGTON AVENUE N., ARDEN HILLS MN 55126
Brett C Carter officer: EVP, Group President Utilitie, other: Chief Customer Officer 414 NICOLLET MALL, 401-9, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55401

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