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Natures Sunshine Products (Natures Sunshine Products) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $14.58 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), Natures Sunshine Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.58. The stock price of Natures Sunshine Products is $19.77. Therefore, Natures Sunshine Products's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Natures Sunshine Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NATR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.7   Med: 1.65   Max: 2.26
Current: 1.36

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Natures Sunshine Products was 2.26. The lowest was 0.70. And the median was 1.65.

NATR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.3% of 1223 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.12 vs NATR: 1.36

Natures Sunshine Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Natures Sunshine Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Natures Sunshine Products Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.93 8.48 11.79 11.85 14.58

Natures Sunshine Products Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.85 12.61 13.09 14.27 14.58

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Natures Sunshine Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Natures Sunshine Products Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Natures Sunshine Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Natures Sunshine Products's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Natures Sunshine Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Natures Sunshine Products's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $16.93.

Natures Sunshine Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*16.93472+154.058*0.8)/19.514
=14.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natures Sunshine Products  (NAS:NATR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Natures Sunshine Products's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.77/14.57778459461
=1.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Natures Sunshine Products Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Natures Sunshine Products's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Natures Sunshine Products (Natures Sunshine Products) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2901 West Bluegrass Boulevard, Suite 100, Lehi, UT, USA, 84043
Natures Sunshine Products Inc is a natural health and wellness company, primarily engaged in the manufacturing and selling of nutritional and personal care products. The company markets its products in Australia, Austria, Belarus, Canada, Colombia, Costa Rica, the Czech Republic, Denmark, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Finland, Germany, Guatemala, Honduras, Hong Kong, and in various other countries. The company operates in four segments namely, Asia, Europe, North America, and Latin America and Other. It offers products related to general health, immunity, cardiovascular, digestive, personal care and weight management.
Executives
Daniel C Norman officer: EVP & President, Asia 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., SUITE 500: LEGAL DEPARTMENT, LEHI UT 84043
Nathan G Brower officer: EVP, General Counsel 2901 W BLUEGRASS BLVD, SUITE 100, LEHI UT 84043
Sarah Crockett officer: Global Chief Marketing Officer 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., LEHI UT 84043
Bryant J Yates officer: Pres Nature's Sunshine Int'l 2500 W EXECUTIVE PARKWAY, SUITE 100, LEHI UT 84043
Kevin R. Herbert officer: EVP & President, North America 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., LEHI UT 84043
Rong Yang director 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., STE 100, LEHI UT 84043
Tracee Comstock officer: VP, Human Resources 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., STE 100, LEHI UT 84043
Jonathan David Lanoy officer: SVP, Finance - Interim CFO C/O NATURE'S SUNSHINE PRODUCTS, INC., LEHI UT 84043
Leslie Shane Jones officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 2901 W. BLUEGRASS BLVD., LEHI UT 84043
Wynnefield Partners Small Cap Value Lp 10 percent owner 450 SEVENTH AVENUE, SUITE 509, NEW YORK NY 10123
Terrence Moorehead director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O 2901 W. BLUEGRASS BLVD, STE 500, LEHI UT 84043
Edward Silcock officer: EVP & President, North America 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD., SUITE 500: LEGAL DEPARTMENT, LEHI UT 84043
Martin A. Gonzalez officer: EVP, Global Supply Chain C/O 2901 W. BLUEGRASS BLVD., ATTN: LEGAL DEPARTMENT, LEHI UT 84043
Tess Roering director C/O NATURE'S SUNSHINE PRODUCTS, INC., 2901 W. BLUEGRASS BLVD., LEHI UT 84043
Curtis Kopf director C/O NATURE'S SUNSHINE PRODUCTS, INC., 2901 WEST BLUEGRASS BLVD. STE 500, LEHI UT 84043