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NewMarket (NewMarket) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $363.89 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-23), NewMarket's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $363.89. The stock price of NewMarket is $587.185. Therefore, NewMarket's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for NewMarket's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NEU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.42   Med: 1.96   Max: 2.48
Current: 1.61

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of NewMarket was 2.48. The lowest was 1.42. And the median was 1.96.

NEU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.37% of 1069 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.19 vs NEU: 1.61

NewMarket Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for NewMarket's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

NewMarket Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 196.37 208.15 208.09 218.73 363.89

NewMarket Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 218.73 240.02 287.15 327.03 363.89

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, NewMarket's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NewMarket Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, NewMarket's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NewMarket's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



NewMarket Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get NewMarket's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $207.45.

NewMarket's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.608723088515*207.45216+1077.061*0.8)/9.556
=363.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NewMarket  (NYSE:NEU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

NewMarket's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=587.185/363.8923858889
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


NewMarket Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of NewMarket's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


NewMarket (NewMarket) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
330 South Fourth Street, Richmond, VA, USA, 23219-4350
NewMarket Corp is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells petroleum additives. Petroleum additives are used in lubricating oils and fuels to enhance their performance in machinery, vehicles, and other equipment. It comprises two broad product applications. Lubricant additives are formulated chemical solutions that, when blended with base fluids, improve the efficiency, durability, performance, and functionality of mineral oils, synthetic oils, and biodegradable fluids. Fuel additives are chemical components that help oil refiners meet fuel specifications or formulated packages that improve the performance of gasoline, diesel, biofuels, and other fuels. More revenue comes from the United States than any other geographic region.
Executives
Lowell Simmons Ukrop director 330 SOUTH 4TH ST, RICHMOND VA 23219
James E Rogers director 1021 EAST CARY STREET, PO BOX 2350, RICHMOND VA 23218-2350
Gail Ridgeway officer: Controller 330 SOUTH 4TH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Ting Xu director 330 S 4TH ST, RICHMOND VA 23219
Jewett Bryce Dickinson Iii officer: VP and General Counsel 330 SOUTH 4TH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Hazelgrove Bruce R Iii officer: VP - Corporate Resources 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Thomas E Gottwald director, officer: President & CEO 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Regina A Harm officer: President Afton Chemical Corp 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Cameron D. Warner officer: Treasurer 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Robert A. Shama officer: President Afton Chemical Corp 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Harris H Hiter Iii director 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219-4350
Brian D Paliotti officer: Vice President & CFO 330 SOUTH 4TH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
David A Fiorenza officer: Vice President and Treasurer
William J Skrobacz officer: Controller 330 SOUTH FOURTH STREET, RICHMOND VA 23219
Patrick D Hanley director 1000 SEMMES AVE, RICHMOND VA 23224